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Sha Tin · 2024-07-01 · 12:50

Race 10

Class 3 GOOD 1200m Course B 14 runners

Race 10 at Sha Tin on 2024-07-01 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. BOTTOMUPTOGETHER, ridden by Z Purton and trained by F C Lor, won by 2-3/4, with DIVANO second and SOLID IMPACT third. Victory came as the 1.8 favourite.

Result

Official · 1.08.26
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 4 BOTTOMUPTOGETHER SR 1.08.26 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · F C Lor 1 1.8 2-3/4
2 5 DIVANO TT H Bowman · K W Lui 2 3.2 2-3/4
3 1 SOLID IMPACT CP A Badel · D J Hall 4 9.6 4-1/2
4 6 MUST GO E/PC/TT B Avdulla · J Size 7 47.0 4-3/4
5 11 SUPER LOVE DRAGON TT L Ferraris · W Y So 12 111.0 5
6 12 VIVA GRACIOUSNESS B-/TT C Y Ho · A S Cruz 3 49.0 5-1/2
7 3 PRAWNS ELEVEN XB/TT H Bentley · M Newnham 5 13.0 6
8 10 ROMAN CROWN A Atzeni · P C Ng 11 73.0 6-1/2
9 2 SELF IMPROVEMENT B/TT K Teetan · K L Man 14 27.0 8-3/4
10 8 PHANTOM CYCLONE B Thompson · T P Yung 8 175.0 8-3/4
11 7 GOR MO TUEN TT1 L Hewitson · D A Hayes 6 38.0 9
12 9 RIDING HIGH H1/TT1 Y L Chung · A S Cruz 9 47.0 9-1/2
13 14 EURO ROCKS B/TT M L Yeung · K W Lui 10 51.0 10-3/4
14 13 BEAUTY THUNDER CP1/TT K C Leung · W K Mo 13 204.0 28-3/4

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. BOTTOMUPTOGETHER2. DIVANO+2.75L3. SOLID IMPACT+4.5L4. MUST GO+4.75L5. SUPER LOVE DRAGON+5L6. VIVA GRACIOUSNESS+5.5L7. PRAWNS ELEVEN+6L8. ROMAN CROWN+6.5L9. SELF IMPROVEMENT+8.75L10. PHANTOM CYCLONE+8.75L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2023-24
The model's top pick BOTTOMUPTOGETHER (54.3%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 4 BOTTOMUPTOGETHER 54.3% 1.84 1
2 5 DIVANO 19.5% 5.12 2
3 3 PRAWNS ELEVEN 4.7% 21.25 7
4 2 SELF IMPROVEMENT 4.1% 24.42 9
5 1 SOLID IMPACT 3.8% 26.04 3
6 10 ROMAN CROWN 2.4% 41.20 8
7 9 RIDING HIGH 2.4% 42.22 12
8 6 MUST GO 2.1% 47.92 4
9 14 EURO ROCKS 1.8% 55.37 13
10 7 GOR MO TUEN 1.4% 72.03 11
11 12 VIVA GRACIOUSNESS 1.3% 79.35 6
12 11 SUPER LOVE DRAGON 1.1% 93.06 5
13 8 PHANTOM CYCLONE 0.8% 119.08 10
14 13 BEAUTY THUNDER 0.3% 369.22 14
BOTTOMUPTOGETHER — wonDIVANOPRAWNS ELEVENSELF IMPROVEMENTSOLID IMPACTROMAN CROWNRIDING HIGHMUST GOEURO ROCKSGOR MO TUENVIVA GRACIOUSNESSSUPER LOVE DRAGONPHANTOM CYCLONEBEAUTY THUNDER

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

4 18.5

PLACE

1 26

4 12

5 11.5

QUINELLA

4,5 26

QUINELLA PLACE

1,4 37.5

1,5 49.5

4,5 15.5

FORECAST

4,5 40

TIERCE

4,5,1 166

TRIO

1,4,5 71

FIRST 4

1,4,5,6 294

QUARTET

4,5,1,6 2,005

All pools (1 more)

9TH DOUBLE

7/4 1,066.5

7/5 237