Sha Tin · 2024-07-01 · 09:34
Race 4
Race 4 at Sha Tin on 2024-07-01 was Class 3 over 1000m, run on GOOD going. FLYING HIGH, ridden by L Hewitson and trained by W Y So, won by 1-1/4, with WE ARE HERO second and HASTEN DELIGHT third. The 2.6 favourite KA YING VICTORY finished 6th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | FLYING HIGH TT 0.56.02 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) L Hewitson · W Y So | L Hewitson | W Y So | 12 | 9.2 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 1 | WE ARE HERO V/TT Y L Chung · K L Man | Y L Chung | K L Man | 11 | 18.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 2 | HASTEN DELIGHT B/TT C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 7 | 5.7 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 5 | ALPHA ONE H1/TT1 K Teetan · W K Mo | K Teetan | W K Mo | 1 | 63.0 | 3 |
| 5 | 9 | PHOENIX LIGHT H C L Chau · C H Yip | C L Chau | C H Yip | 3 | 19.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 6 | 3 | KA YING VICTORY A Badel · D J Hall | A Badel | D J Hall | 6 | 2.6 | 4-1/2 |
| 7 | 7 | SOVEREIGN FUND B1/TT1 K De Melo · C W Chang | K De Melo | C W Chang | 4 | 55.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 8 | 12 | SUPER FORTUNE TT M F Poon · A S Cruz | M F Poon | A S Cruz | 9 | 6.1 | 5 |
| 9 | 8 | BRAVE STAR XB A Atzeni · K W Lui | A Atzeni | K W Lui | 2 | 39.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 10 | 10 | MOTOMAN B1/TT1 Z Purton · P C Ng | Z Purton | P C Ng | 10 | 6.9 | 5-3/4 |
| 11 | 4 | PLEASANT ENDEAVOR B L Ferraris · P F Yiu | L Ferraris | P F Yiu | 5 | 15.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 12 | 11 | ACE VICTORY H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 8 | 97.0 | 8-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | KA YING VICTORY | 23.8% | 4.19 | 6 |
| 2 | 10 | MOTOMAN | 19.5% | 5.14 | 10 |
| 3 | 2 | HASTEN DELIGHT | 13.2% | 7.60 | 3 |
| 4 | 9 | PHOENIX LIGHT | 9.2% | 10.81 | 5 |
| 5 | 5 | ALPHA ONE | 6.2% | 16.02 | 4 |
| 6 | 8 | BRAVE STAR | 6.1% | 16.35 | 9 |
| 7 | 4 | PLEASANT ENDEAVOR | 5.2% | 19.31 | 11 |
| 8 | 1 | WE ARE HERO | 4.6% | 21.62 | 2 |
| 9 | 12 | SUPER FORTUNE | 4.5% | 22.39 | 8 |
| 10 | 6 | FLYING HIGH | 4.1% | 24.18 | 1 |
| 11 | 7 | SOVEREIGN FUND | 2.8% | 35.50 | 7 |
| 12 | 11 | ACE VICTORY | 0.7% | 140.48 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
6 92.5
PLACE
1 36.5
2 20.5
6 24
QUINELLA
1,6 413
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 161.5
1,6 120.5
2,6 85
FORECAST
6,1 949
TIERCE
6,1,2 5,417
TRIO
1,2,6 770
FIRST 4
1,2,5,6 10,400
QUARTET
6,1,2,5 213,965
All pools (1 more)
3RD DOUBLE
2/1 96
2/6 439.5