Sha Tin · 2024-07-01 · 21:23
Race 11
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | CHING Closed strongly 1.34.98 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) L Hewitson · C W Chang | L Hewitson | C W Chang | 10 | 14.0 | N |
| 2 | 9 | PRAY FOR MIR Z Purton · W K Mo | Z Purton | W K Mo | 9 | 7.5 | N |
| 3 | 8 | BRIGHT INHERITANCE Closed strongly B H Bentley · C H Yip | H Bentley | C H Yip | 2 | 15.0 | N |
| 4 | 10 | SUNSTRIDER Closed strongly CP A Badel · D J Hall | A Badel | D J Hall | 3 | 5.9 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 14 | SMART CITY CP M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | 4 | 63.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 6 | 12 | ARIEL Led early CP/TT K Teetan · D A Hayes | K Teetan | D A Hayes | 13 | 6.8 | 1-3/4 |
| 7 | 6 | SECOND TO NONE C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 7 | 5.1 | 2 |
| 8 | 3 | FORTUNE SUPERSTAR Closed strongly H1 B Avdulla · M Newnham | B Avdulla | M Newnham | 6 | 30.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 9 | 7 | TRUE GENIUS B-/H/SR1/TT K De Melo · D J Whyte | K De Melo | D J Whyte | 1 | 46.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 10 | 5 | QUANTUM PATCH Closed strongly TT M L Yeung · P C Ng | M L Yeung | P C Ng | 12 | 10.0 | 3 |
| 11 | 2 | EIGHTEEN CARAT Closed strongly A Atzeni · C S Shum | A Atzeni | C S Shum | 11 | 13.0 | 3 |
| 12 | 4 | THE HEIR TT1 H Bowman · C Fownes | H Bowman | C Fownes | 5 | 5.4 | 4-3/4 |
| 13 | 11 | PERFECT PAIRING B A Hamelin · J Size | A Hamelin | J Size | 8 | 106.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 14 | 13 | PRINCIPLED CP1/TT B Thompson · J Richards | B Thompson | J Richards | 14 | 165.0 | 8-3/4 |
| — | 0 | BEATO Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | — | — | — |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 11 at Sha Tin on 2024-07-01 was Class 3 over 1600m, run on GOOD going. CHING, ridden by L Hewitson and trained by C W Chang, won by N, with PRAY FOR MIR second and BRIGHT INHERITANCE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 5.1 favourite SECOND TO NONE finished 7th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | THE HEIR | 19.5% | 5.12 | 12 |
| 2 | 6 | SECOND TO NONE | 17.0% | 5.88 | 7 |
| 3 | 9 | PRAY FOR MIR | 12.7% | 7.88 | 2 |
| 4 | 2 | EIGHTEEN CARAT | 11.2% | 8.93 | 11 |
| 5 | 12 | ARIEL | 11.1% | 9.00 | 6 |
| 6 | 1 | CHING | 8.0% | 12.56 | 1 |
| 7 | 10 | SUNSTRIDER | 6.3% | 15.91 | 4 |
| 8 | 5 | QUANTUM PATCH | 5.2% | 19.24 | 10 |
| 9 | 3 | FORTUNE SUPERSTAR | 3.4% | 29.78 | 8 |
| 10 | 8 | BRIGHT INHERITANCE | 2.9% | 34.51 | 3 |
| 11 | 7 | TRUE GENIUS | 1.0% | 98.92 | 9 |
| 12 | 14 | SMART CITY | 0.6% | 165.32 | 5 |
| 13 | 11 | PERFECT PAIRING | 0.6% | 174.11 | 13 |
| 14 | 13 | PRINCIPLED | 0.6% | 180.27 | 14 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 148.5
PLACE
1 38.5
8 56.5
9 29
QUINELLA
1,9 508.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,8 391
1,9 161
8,9 258
FORECAST
1,9 1,120
TIERCE
1,9,8 13,923
TRIO
1,8,9 2,852
FIRST 4
1,8,9,10 4,729
QUARTET
1,9,8,10 121,964
All pools (4 more)
10TH DOUBLE
4/1 203
4/9 35
2ND TREBLE
7/4/1 10,577
7/4/9 1,548
5TH DOUBLE TRIO
1,4,5/1,8,9 31,738
SIX UP
3,8/6,11/8,11/7,9/4,5/1,9 46,170
8/11/11/7/4/1 2,792,990
7 [L Hewitson] —
12 [W Y So] —