Sha Tin · 2024-07-01 · 12:14
Race 9
Race 9 at Sha Tin on 2024-07-01 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. MIGHTY STRENGTH, ridden by A Hamelin and trained by P F Yiu, won by SH, with CIRCUIT MIGHTY second and RUN RUN TIMING third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.3 favourite SUPER INFINITY finished 4th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | MIGHTY STRENGTH Closed strongly XB 1.22.00 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Hamelin · P F Yiu | A Hamelin | P F Yiu | 3 | 49.0 | SH |
| 2 | 9 | CIRCUIT MIGHTY Closed strongly B-/TT K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 4 | 18.0 | SH |
| 3 | 1 | RUN RUN TIMING TT H Bentley · C H Yip | H Bentley | C H Yip | 2 | 8.3 | N |
| 4 | 3 | SUPER INFINITY Closed strongly H Bowman · M Newnham | H Bowman | M Newnham | 5 | 2.3 | 1/2 |
| 5 | 2 | FIGHTING MACHINE Closed strongly SR Z Purton · P C Ng | Z Purton | P C Ng | 7 | 3.9 | 1-1/4 |
| 6 | 12 | CALL ME SUPREME Closed strongly B/TT B Thompson · C W Chang | B Thompson | C W Chang | 10 | 18.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 7 | 6 | ALWAYS FLUKE H-/CP/XB1 C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 8 | 9.7 | 3 |
| 8 | 10 | FIREFOOT Closed strongly TT1 K De Melo · W Y So | K De Melo | W Y So | 13 | 146.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 9 | 4 | GOLDEN BULL Led early XB/TT L Hewitson · C S Shum | L Hewitson | C S Shum | 9 | 21.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 10 | 11 | HAPPYDEARHAPPYDEER B/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 1 | 11.0 | 5 |
| 11 | 13 | VERBIER Closed strongly B A Badel · C Fownes | A Badel | C Fownes | 11 | 97.0 | 6 |
| 12 | 5 | SMASHING EXPRESS P-/E B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 6 | 165.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 13 | 14 | SPEEDY CHARIOT B/TT A Atzeni · D J Whyte | A Atzeni | D J Whyte | 14 | 71.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 14 | 8 | STARMEN CP1/TT M L Yeung · J Richards | M L Yeung | J Richards | 12 | 171.0 | 10-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | SUPER INFINITY | 25.3% | 3.95 | 4 |
| 2 | 2 | FIGHTING MACHINE | 15.5% | 6.43 | 5 |
| 3 | 6 | ALWAYS FLUKE | 11.5% | 8.72 | 7 |
| 4 | 1 | RUN RUN TIMING | 10.1% | 9.90 | 3 |
| 5 | 4 | GOLDEN BULL | 9.4% | 10.59 | 9 |
| 6 | 9 | CIRCUIT MIGHTY | 7.2% | 13.87 | 2 |
| 7 | 11 | HAPPYDEARHAPPYDEER | 6.1% | 16.30 | 10 |
| 8 | 14 | SPEEDY CHARIOT | 3.9% | 25.66 | 13 |
| 9 | 12 | CALL ME SUPREME | 3.6% | 27.46 | 6 |
| 10 | 7 | MIGHTY STRENGTH | 2.6% | 38.47 | 1 |
| 11 | 13 | VERBIER | 1.4% | 73.23 | 11 |
| 12 | 5 | SMASHING EXPRESS | 1.3% | 75.42 | 12 |
| 13 | 8 | STARMEN | 1.2% | 85.00 | 14 |
| 14 | 10 | FIREFOOT | 0.8% | 130.53 | 8 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
7 496.5
PLACE
1 23
7 90
9 47
QUINELLA
7,9 3,261
QUINELLA PLACE
1,7 404.5
1,9 196.5
7,9 742
FORECAST
7,9 6,174
TIERCE
7,9,1 49,956
TRIO
1,7,9 5,190
FIRST 4
1,3,7,9 2,932
QUARTET
7,9,1,3 118,010
All pools (2 more)
4TH DOUBLE TRIO
7,8,11/1,7,9 381,955
8TH DOUBLE
11/7 5,479
11/9 400