Sha Tin · 2024-07-01 · 11:41
Race 8
Race 8 at Sha Tin on 2024-07-01 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. SMILING COLLECTOR, ridden by H Bentley and trained by K H Ting, won by NOSE, with FORERUNNER second and GRAND BOSS third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.0 favourite FORERUNNER finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | SMILING COLLECTOR Closed strongly XB/CP1 1.21.85 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bentley · K H Ting | H Bentley | K H Ting | 6 | 15.0 | NOSE |
| 2 | 8 | FORERUNNER Closed strongly TT H Bowman · W K Mo | H Bowman | W K Mo | 4 | 3.0 | NOSE |
| 3 | 7 | GRAND BOSS Closed strongly CP/TT M F Poon · C S Shum | M F Poon | C S Shum | 5 | 6.1 | 2-3/4 |
| 4 | 10 | HAPPY DAILY Closed strongly CP-/TT C Y Ho · C H Yip | C Y Ho | C H Yip | 11 | 18.0 | 3 |
| 5 | 4 | EMBRACES Closed strongly TT C L Chau · J Richards | C L Chau | J Richards | 1 | 13.0 | 3 |
| 6 | 5 | SOLID WIN Closed strongly TT A Atzeni · P F Yiu | A Atzeni | P F Yiu | 9 | 9.8 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 12 | FIGHT TIME B/TT B Avdulla · D J Hall | B Avdulla | D J Hall | 3 | 16.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 14 | MR ALADDIN Closed strongly V-/B2/TT1 A Badel · P C Ng | A Badel | P C Ng | 10 | 13.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 9 | 9 | GALLANT CROWN B/TT K Teetan · D A Hayes | K Teetan | D A Hayes | 8 | 25.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 10 | 3 | PINS PRINCE Closed strongly H/P/TT A Hamelin · J Size | A Hamelin | J Size | 14 | 75.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 11 | 1 | MY FLYING ANGEL CP Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 13 | 10.0 | 11-1/4 |
| 12 | 6 | WAR OF COURAGE Led early B K H Chan · K L Man | K H Chan | K L Man | 7 | 15.0 | 11-1/2 |
| 13 | 2 | MARADO Closed strongly B2 L Hewitson · W Y So | L Hewitson | W Y So | 2 | 19.0 | 15 |
| 14 | 13 | RIVER VIEWS B2 Y L Chung · T P Yung | Y L Chung | T P Yung | 12 | 43.0 | 18-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | MY FLYING ANGEL | 18.5% | 5.41 | 11 |
| 2 | 8 | FORERUNNER | 15.0% | 6.68 | 2 |
| 3 | 4 | EMBRACES | 13.2% | 7.57 | 5 |
| 4 | 11 | SMILING COLLECTOR | 8.4% | 11.84 | 1 |
| 5 | 6 | WAR OF COURAGE | 5.9% | 16.88 | 12 |
| 6 | 14 | MR ALADDIN | 5.6% | 17.92 | 8 |
| 7 | 9 | GALLANT CROWN | 5.2% | 19.33 | 9 |
| 8 | 5 | SOLID WIN | 5.0% | 20.02 | 6 |
| 9 | 2 | MARADO | 4.9% | 20.54 | 13 |
| 10 | 12 | FIGHT TIME | 4.2% | 24.04 | 7 |
| 11 | 10 | HAPPY DAILY | 4.0% | 25.23 | 4 |
| 12 | 7 | GRAND BOSS | 3.8% | 26.16 | 3 |
| 13 | 3 | PINS PRINCE | 3.8% | 26.29 | 10 |
| 14 | 13 | RIVER VIEWS | 2.6% | 39.01 | 14 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
11 155.5
PLACE
7 17
8 15.5
11 39.5
QUINELLA
8,11 268.5
QUINELLA PLACE
7,8 38
7,11 164
8,11 98
FORECAST
11,8 792
TIERCE
11,8,7 3,664
TRIO
7,8,11 512
FIRST 4
7,8,10,11 1,383
QUARTET
11,8,7,10 40,976
All pools (1 more)
7TH DOUBLE
11/8 32.5
11/11 1,072