Sha Tin · 2024-07-01 · 09:02
Race 3
Race 3 at Sha Tin on 2024-07-01 was Class 5 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. GANGNAM STAR, ridden by A Badel and trained by P C Ng, won by 1-1/2, with PRECISION GOAL second and AROMATICA third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.1 favourite CHILLI BABA finished 9th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | GANGNAM STAR Closed strongly XB 1.22.42 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Badel · P C Ng | A Badel | P C Ng | 3 | 5.5 | 1-1/2 |
| 2 | 11 | PRECISION GOAL Closed strongly TT Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 4 | 10.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 3 | 4 | AROMATICA Closed strongly TT H Bentley · W Y So | H Bentley | W Y So | 2 | 7.8 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 6 | ASIAN ONE Closed strongly PC-/XB/B2/TT A Atzeni · J Richards | A Atzeni | J Richards | 1 | 18.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 14 | DRAGON KINGDOM Led early K Teetan · Y S Tsui | K Teetan | Y S Tsui | 8 | 20.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 13 | HO HO STAR Closed strongly H K C Leung · C H Yip | K C Leung | C H Yip | 5 | 14.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 8 | SMART FOLKS SR-/B M L Yeung · C W Chang | M L Yeung | C W Chang | 7 | 32.0 | 3 |
| 8 | 9 | RIGHT HONOURABLE Closed strongly B/XB B Thompson · M Newnham | B Thompson | M Newnham | 9 | 23.0 | 3 |
| 9 | 1 | CHILLI BABA Closed strongly V-/B2 H Bowman · P F Yiu | H Bowman | P F Yiu | 12 | 4.1 | 3-1/2 |
| 10 | 10 | CHARMANDER K De Melo · D J Hall | K De Melo | D J Hall | 10 | 4.9 | 3-1/2 |
| 11 | 3 | NOBLE WIN Closed strongly E/XB/TT A Hamelin · J Size | A Hamelin | J Size | 14 | 15.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 12 | 5 | WINNING SEVEN Closed strongly XB/CP1/TT L Ferraris · D J Whyte | L Ferraris | D J Whyte | 13 | 94.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 13 | 7 | YOO YOO KNIGHT C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 6 | 41.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 14 | 12 | GENERAL ACE CP C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 11 | 63.0 | 13-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | PRECISION GOAL | 18.3% | 5.47 | 2 |
| 2 | 1 | CHILLI BABA | 11.4% | 8.77 | 9 |
| 3 | 6 | ASIAN ONE | 10.6% | 9.45 | 4 |
| 4 | 3 | NOBLE WIN | 8.5% | 11.77 | 11 |
| 5 | 13 | HO HO STAR | 8.3% | 12.07 | 6 |
| 6 | 4 | AROMATICA | 7.9% | 12.64 | 3 |
| 7 | 2 | GANGNAM STAR | 7.3% | 13.69 | 1 |
| 8 | 7 | YOO YOO KNIGHT | 6.2% | 16.21 | 13 |
| 9 | 10 | CHARMANDER | 6.0% | 16.68 | 10 |
| 10 | 14 | DRAGON KINGDOM | 4.8% | 20.89 | 5 |
| 11 | 12 | GENERAL ACE | 4.1% | 24.29 | 14 |
| 12 | 9 | RIGHT HONOURABLE | 2.6% | 38.89 | 8 |
| 13 | 8 | SMART FOLKS | 2.1% | 48.00 | 7 |
| 14 | 5 | WINNING SEVEN | 2.0% | 49.31 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
2 55
PLACE
2 21.5
4 20
11 34
QUINELLA
2,11 313.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,4 65.5
2,11 104
4,11 141
FORECAST
2,11 624
TIERCE
2,11,4 2,786
TRIO
2,4,11 545
FIRST 4
2,4,6,11 1,009
QUARTET
2,11,4,6 21,704
All pools (2 more)
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
4,10,11/2,4,11 113,915
2ND DOUBLE
4/2 3,679
4/11 2,156