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Sha Tin · 2024-07-01 · 18:38

Race 6

Class 2 GOOD 1400m Course B 9 runners

Result

Official · 1.20.71
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 8 CHIU CHOW SPIRIT Closed strongly B/TT 1.20.71 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Badel · K L Man 9 4.1 SH
2 3 TOMODACHI KOKOROE Led early TT A Atzeni · D A Hayes 6 68.0 SH
3 7 SUPERB BOY Closed strongly TT Z Purton · K W Lui 5 4.1 2
4 5 SUPREME LUCKY Closed strongly TT M F Poon · C S Shum 8 7.9 2-1/4
5 1 ATULLIBIGEAL Closed strongly B/H/XB H Bowman · D J Hall 4 8.7 3-1/4
6 9 GORGEOUS WIN TT L Hewitson · C S Shum 7 6.5 3-1/2
7 2 FLAMING RABBIT SR/TT L Ferraris · D J Whyte 1 22.0 4
8 4 WONDER KIT B C Y Ho · K W Lui 3 5.1 4-1/4
9 6 KEEFY K Teetan · F C Lor 2 13.0 10-1/2

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 6 at Sha Tin on 2024-07-01 was Class 2 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. CHIU CHOW SPIRIT, ridden by A Badel and trained by K L Man, won by SH, with TOMODACHI KOKOROE second and SUPERB BOY third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 4.1 favourite.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. CHIU CHOW SPIRIT—2. TOMODACHI KOKOROE+0.1L3. SUPERB BOY+2L4. SUPREME LUCKY+2.25L5. ATULLIBIGEAL+3.25L6. GORGEOUS WIN+3.5L7. FLAMING RABBIT+4L8. WONDER KIT+4.25L9. KEEFY+10.5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2023-24
The model's top pick WONDER KIT (30.9%) finished 8th — the winner CHIU CHOW SPIRIT was rated #7. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 4 WONDER KIT 30.9% 3.24 8
2 6 KEEFY 12.3% 8.12 9
3 9 GORGEOUS WIN 12.2% 8.18 6
4 1 ATULLIBIGEAL 12.1% 8.29 5
5 7 SUPERB BOY 12.0% 8.31 3
6 5 SUPREME LUCKY 7.4% 13.52 4
7 8 CHIU CHOW SPIRIT 6.9% 14.39 1
8 2 FLAMING RABBIT 3.2% 31.09 7
9 3 TOMODACHI KOKOROE 2.9% 34.23 2
WONDER KITKEEFYGORGEOUS WINATULLIBIGEALSUPERB BOYSUPREME LUCKYCHIU CHOW SPIRIT — wonFLAMING RABBITTOMODACHI KOKOROE

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

8 41

PLACE

3 139

7 17.5

8 15.5

QUINELLA

3,8 1,147

QUINELLA PLACE

3,7 484

3,8 315.5

7,8 45.5

FORECAST

8,3 1,754

TIERCE

8,3,7 14,005

TRIO

3,7,8 1,843

FIRST 4

3,5,7,8 2,904

QUARTET

8,3,7,5 81,555

All pools (1 more)

5TH DOUBLE

1/3 904

1/8 424.5