沙田 · 2024-09-22
第 3場
2024-09-22沙田第3場，Class 4，途程1200米。由K C Leung策騎、W K Mo訓練的SUGAR BALL勝出，贏出1-1/4。STELLAR SWIFT獲得亞軍；STORMING DRAGON獲得季軍。1.6倍大熱門STORMING DRAGON跑獲第3名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | SUGAR BALL H/TT 1.09.05 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） K C Leung · W K Mo | K C Leung | W K Mo | 1 | 17.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 2 | STELLAR SWIFT CP/TT A Atzeni · D A Hayes | A Atzeni | D A Hayes | 2 | 15.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 5 | STORMING DRAGON B/TT Z Purton · J Richards | Z Purton | J Richards | 8 | 1.6 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 4 | FUN N FUN TOGETHER C Y Ho · F C Lor | C Y Ho | F C Lor | 11 | 4.6 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 1 | RUN RUN TIMING TT P N Wong · C H Yip | P N Wong | C H Yip | 9 | 7.5 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 6 | PEARL OF PANG'S M Chadwick · K L Man | M Chadwick | K L Man | 7 | 38.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 10 | CIRCUIT MAXIMUS CP-/TT L Hewitson · C S Shum | L Hewitson | C S Shum | 10 | 109.0 | 4 |
| 8 | 8 | GOOD LUCK WIN B2/TT B Thompson · M Newnham | B Thompson | M Newnham | 5 | 97.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 3 | BULB EMPEROR B/TT M F Poon · P C Ng | M F Poon | P C Ng | 6 | 21.0 | 7 |
| 10 | 11 | WINNING TURN CP-/B1/TT H Bentley · P F Yiu | H Bentley | P F Yiu | 4 | 40.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 11 | 9 | GET SET WIN K De Melo · K W Lui | K De Melo | K W Lui | 3 | 191.0 | 20 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | STORMING DRAGON | 35.3% | 2.83 | 3 |
| 2 | 4 | FUN N FUN TOGETHER | 18.0% | 5.55 | 4 |
| 3 | 1 | RUN RUN TIMING | 15.6% | 6.40 | 5 |
| 4 | 2 | STELLAR SWIFT | 9.7% | 10.35 | 2 |
| 5 | 3 | BULB EMPEROR | 6.9% | 14.59 | 9 |
| 6 | 7 | SUGAR BALL | 6.3% | 15.80 | 1 |
| 7 | 6 | PEARL OF PANG'S | 4.7% | 21.14 | 6 |
| 8 | 10 | CIRCUIT MAXIMUS | 1.4% | 71.26 | 7 |
| 9 | 11 | WINNING TURN | 0.9% | 116.01 | 10 |
| 10 | 8 | GOOD LUCK WIN | 0.8% | 128.09 | 8 |
| 11 | 9 | GET SET WIN | 0.4% | 232.08 | 11 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
7 179.5
PLACE
2 26.5
5 10.1
7 32.5
QUINELLA
2,7 799
QUINELLA PLACE
2,5 39
2,7 168.5
5,7 45.5
FORECAST
7,2 1,619
TIERCE
7,2,5 3,793
TRIO
2,5,7 286
FIRST 4
2,4,5,7 180
QUARTET
7,2,5,4 8,890
全部彩池（另 1 項）
2ND DOUBLE
4/2 76
4/7 831.5