沙田 · 2024-09-22
第 5場
2024-09-22沙田第5場，Class 4，途程1000米。由P N Wong策騎、D J Whyte訓練的CHEVAL VALIANT勝出，贏出N。MAJESTIC EXPRESS獲得亞軍；MR GOOD VIBES獲得季軍。頭馬以3.1倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | CHEVAL VALIANT B/TT 0.56.95 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） P N Wong · D J Whyte | P N Wong | D J Whyte | 6 | 3.1 | N |
| 2 | 3 | MAJESTIC EXPRESS E H Bowman · J Size | H Bowman | J Size | 3 | 43.0 | N |
| 3 | 13 | MR GOOD VIBES B A Badel · D J Hall | A Badel | D J Hall | 10 | 22.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 4 | 1 | METRO WARRIOR B K C Leung · D A Hayes | K C Leung | D A Hayes | 9 | 8.5 | 4 |
| 5 | 4 | PANDA B Z Purton · C H Yip | Z Purton | C H Yip | 5 | 6.1 | 4-1/4 |
| 6 | 11 | CIRCUIT SEVEN B/TT M F Poon · W K Mo | M F Poon | W K Mo | 4 | 15.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 7 | 12 | HOLY POWER B/TT M Chadwick · J Richards | M Chadwick | J Richards | 13 | 6.5 | 5-1/4 |
| 8 | 5 | DRAGON AIR FORCE TT- K Teetan · P F Yiu | K Teetan | P F Yiu | 2 | 5.7 | 6 |
| 9 | 9 | RUN RUN COOL PC L Hewitson · F C Lor | L Hewitson | F C Lor | 11 | 13.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 10 | 10 | SOLAR UP H/P1/TT2 H T Mo · C W Chang | H T Mo | C W Chang | 7 | 155.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 11 | 6 | ALMIGHTY KICK XB Y L Chung · K W Lui | Y L Chung | K W Lui | 14 | 126.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 12 | 7 | SUPERSONIC B/XB B Thompson · M Newnham | B Thompson | M Newnham | 12 | 22.0 | 9-1/2 |
| 13 | 14 | SPICY SPANGLE H-/PC-/XB-/TT1 C Y Ho · P C Ng | C Y Ho | P C Ng | 8 | 60.0 | 14-1/4 |
| 14 | 8 | VIGOR ELLEEGANT TT C L Chau · K L Man | C L Chau | K L Man | 1 | 168.0 | 27 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | DRAGON AIR FORCE | 21.4% | 4.66 | 8 |
| 2 | 4 | PANDA | 19.3% | 5.17 | 5 |
| 3 | 2 | CHEVAL VALIANT | 13.1% | 7.65 | 1 |
| 4 | 1 | METRO WARRIOR | 9.1% | 10.98 | 4 |
| 5 | 13 | MR GOOD VIBES | 8.5% | 11.82 | 3 |
| 6 | 11 | CIRCUIT SEVEN | 7.2% | 13.95 | 6 |
| 7 | 12 | HOLY POWER | 6.7% | 14.83 | 7 |
| 8 | 9 | RUN RUN COOL | 5.8% | 17.33 | 9 |
| 9 | 3 | MAJESTIC EXPRESS | 3.6% | 27.97 | 2 |
| 10 | 14 | SPICY SPANGLE | 1.3% | 74.56 | 13 |
| 11 | 10 | SOLAR UP | 1.3% | 75.98 | 10 |
| 12 | 8 | VIGOR ELLEEGANT | 1.1% | 94.73 | 14 |
| 13 | 7 | SUPERSONIC | 0.9% | 112.97 | 12 |
| 14 | 6 | ALMIGHTY KICK | 0.7% | 138.76 | 11 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
2 31.5
PLACE
2 15.5
3 110.5
13 49
QUINELLA
2,3 699.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,3 232
2,13 113.5
3,13 835.5
FORECAST
2,3 1,140
TIERCE
2,3,13 16,660
TRIO
2,3,13 3,100
FIRST 4
1,2,3,13 4,922
QUARTET
2,3,13,1 123,806
全部彩池（另 2 項）
1ST TREBLE
7/4/2 5,230
7/4/3 7,983
4TH DOUBLE
4/2 326.5
4/3 581