沙田 · 2024-09-22
第 10場
2024-09-22沙田第10場，Class 2，途程1200米。由K De Melo策騎、D A Hayes訓練的HARMONY N BLESSED勝出，贏出1-1/4。SUPERB CAPITALIST獲得亞軍；COPARTNER PRANCE獲得季軍。3.0倍大熱門FULL CREDIT跑獲第10名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | HARMONY N BLESSED B/TT 1.09.35 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） K De Melo · D A Hayes | K De Melo | D A Hayes | 5 | 22.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 5 | SUPERB CAPITALIST H/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 1 | 7.1 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 2 | COPARTNER PRANCE XB Z Purton · K W Lui | Z Purton | K W Lui | 3 | 4.1 | 2-1/2 |
| 4 | 3 | BUNDLE OF CHARM P- A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 9 | 41.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 8 | SING DRAGON L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | 4 | 29.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 1 | SON PAK FU B/TT E C W Wong · A S Cruz | E C W Wong | A S Cruz | 7 | 70.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 7 | 10 | WATCH BUDDY P N Wong · P F Yiu | P N Wong | P F Yiu | 2 | 29.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 8 | 6 | YOUNG CHAMPION K Teetan · J Size | K Teetan | J Size | 6 | 3.4 | 5-1/2 |
| 9 | 4 | BEAUTY CHARGE H/TT B Avdulla · A S Cruz | B Avdulla | A S Cruz | 11 | 76.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 10 | 11 | FULL CREDIT L Hewitson · M Newnham | L Hewitson | M Newnham | 8 | 3.0 | 6 |
| 11 | 9 | VICTORY MOMENTS B/SR/TT M Chadwick · F C Lor | M Chadwick | F C Lor | 10 | 25.0 | 6-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | COPARTNER PRANCE | 30.4% | 3.29 | 3 |
| 2 | 11 | FULL CREDIT | 25.8% | 3.87 | 10 |
| 3 | 6 | YOUNG CHAMPION | 11.7% | 8.56 | 8 |
| 4 | 8 | SING DRAGON | 8.2% | 12.21 | 5 |
| 5 | 5 | SUPERB CAPITALIST | 5.6% | 17.79 | 2 |
| 6 | 10 | WATCH BUDDY | 4.8% | 20.80 | 7 |
| 7 | 9 | VICTORY MOMENTS | 4.5% | 22.26 | 11 |
| 8 | 4 | BEAUTY CHARGE | 2.3% | 43.40 | 9 |
| 9 | 1 | SON PAK FU | 2.3% | 44.19 | 6 |
| 10 | 3 | BUNDLE OF CHARM | 2.2% | 45.33 | 4 |
| 11 | 7 | HARMONY N BLESSED | 2.2% | 45.66 | 1 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
7 225
PLACE
2 16
5 22
7 46.5
QUINELLA
5,7 483.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,5 44.5
2,7 115
5,7 129.5
FORECAST
7,5 1,349
TIERCE
7,5,2 5,314
TRIO
2,5,7 550
FIRST 4
2,3,5,7 2,526
QUARTET
7,5,2,3 84,038
全部彩池（另 4 項）
2ND TREBLE
7/1/5 136
7/1/7 2,331
5TH DOUBLE TRIO
1,5,9/2,5,7 4,275
9TH DOUBLE
1/5 30
1/7 541
SIX UP
2,3/4,8/1,5/2,7/1,5/5,7 4,706
2/8/5/7/1/7 356,397
6 [D A Hayes] —
1 [Z Purton] —