沙田 · 2024-09-22
第 8場
2024-09-22沙田第8場，Class 4，途程1400米。由H Bowman策騎、D A Hayes訓練的MASTER MASTERMIND勝出，贏出1/2。FIRST LOVE獲得亞軍；ALL RICHES獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。2.8倍大熱門BALLISTIC WIN跑獲第7名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | MASTER MASTERMIND 後段發力 B-/CP1/TT 1.22.80 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） H Bowman · D A Hayes | H Bowman | D A Hayes | 1 | 4.2 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 2 | FIRST LOVE 後段發力 TT1 Z Purton · P C Ng | Z Purton | P C Ng | 10 | 9.9 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 4 | ALL RICHES 早段領放 V K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 8 | 6.1 | 1 |
| 4 | 12 | STRATHPEFFER B M Chadwick · D J Whyte | M Chadwick | D J Whyte | 12 | 17.0 | 2 |
| 5 | 8 | BEER PALACE 後段發力 B-/P1/TT- L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | 6 | 12.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 5 | HIGHLAND RAHY CP/TT L Hewitson · K W Lui | L Hewitson | K W Lui | 11 | 14.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 3 | BALLISTIC WIN B Thompson · T P Yung | B Thompson | T P Yung | 3 | 2.8 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 6 | MAJESTIC SPEED CP1/TT C L Chau · C S Shum | C L Chau | C S Shum | 2 | 145.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 9 | 9 | SMASHING EXPRESS 後段發力 E B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 5 | 111.0 | 6 |
| 10 | 11 | MIU FA FA H-/TT M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 13 | 33.0 | 8 |
| 11 | 10 | RAGNARR 後段發力 XB/H1 P N Wong · D J Hall | P N Wong | D J Hall | 4 | 39.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 12 | 13 | FAST AS ROCKET TT K De Melo · W Y So | K De Melo | W Y So | 9 | 124.0 | 9 |
| 13 | 1 | CALIFORNIA DEEPLY CP/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 7 | 15.0 | 9-1/2 |
| 14 | 14 | FORTUNE COOKIES B-/TT- H T Mo · J Richards | H T Mo | J Richards | 14 | 198.0 | 21-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | MASTER MASTERMIND | 18.7% | 5.34 | 1 |
| 2 | 3 | BALLISTIC WIN | 17.0% | 5.90 | 7 |
| 3 | 2 | FIRST LOVE | 14.7% | 6.78 | 2 |
| 4 | 4 | ALL RICHES | 9.4% | 10.61 | 3 |
| 5 | 8 | BEER PALACE | 9.0% | 11.07 | 5 |
| 6 | 5 | HIGHLAND RAHY | 7.1% | 14.10 | 6 |
| 7 | 1 | CALIFORNIA DEEPLY | 6.9% | 14.52 | 13 |
| 8 | 10 | RAGNARR | 6.7% | 14.85 | 11 |
| 9 | 12 | STRATHPEFFER | 4.8% | 20.73 | 4 |
| 10 | 13 | FAST AS ROCKET | 1.4% | 71.00 | 12 |
| 11 | 11 | MIU FA FA | 1.4% | 71.18 | 10 |
| 12 | 6 | MAJESTIC SPEED | 1.1% | 91.65 | 8 |
| 13 | 9 | SMASHING EXPRESS | 1.1% | 94.93 | 9 |
| 14 | 14 | FORTUNE COOKIES | 0.6% | 162.49 | 14 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
7 42
PLACE
2 33
4 21
7 16
QUINELLA
2,7 188.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,4 101
2,7 63.5
4,7 46.5
FORECAST
7,2 380
TIERCE
7,2,4 1,977
TRIO
2,4,7 411
FIRST 4
2,4,7,12 935
QUARTET
7,2,4,12 15,638
全部彩池（另 2 項）
4TH DOUBLE TRIO
1,3,5/2,4,7 48,824
7TH DOUBLE
5/2 126.5
5/7 314