Sha Tin · 2024-09-22
Race 8
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | MASTER MASTERMIND Closed strongly B-/CP1/TT 1.22.80 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bowman · D A Hayes | H Bowman | D A Hayes | 1 | 4.2 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 2 | FIRST LOVE Closed strongly TT1 Z Purton · P C Ng | Z Purton | P C Ng | 10 | 9.9 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 4 | ALL RICHES Led early V K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 8 | 6.1 | 1 |
| 4 | 12 | STRATHPEFFER B M Chadwick · D J Whyte | M Chadwick | D J Whyte | 12 | 17.0 | 2 |
| 5 | 8 | BEER PALACE Closed strongly B-/P1/TT- L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | 6 | 12.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 5 | HIGHLAND RAHY CP/TT L Hewitson · K W Lui | L Hewitson | K W Lui | 11 | 14.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 3 | BALLISTIC WIN B Thompson · T P Yung | B Thompson | T P Yung | 3 | 2.8 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 6 | MAJESTIC SPEED CP1/TT C L Chau · C S Shum | C L Chau | C S Shum | 2 | 145.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 9 | 9 | SMASHING EXPRESS Closed strongly E B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 5 | 111.0 | 6 |
| 10 | 11 | MIU FA FA H-/TT M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 13 | 33.0 | 8 |
| 11 | 10 | RAGNARR Closed strongly XB/H1 P N Wong · D J Hall | P N Wong | D J Hall | 4 | 39.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 12 | 13 | FAST AS ROCKET TT K De Melo · W Y So | K De Melo | W Y So | 9 | 124.0 | 9 |
| 13 | 1 | CALIFORNIA DEEPLY CP/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 7 | 15.0 | 9-1/2 |
| 14 | 14 | FORTUNE COOKIES B-/TT- H T Mo · J Richards | H T Mo | J Richards | 14 | 198.0 | 21-1/2 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 8 at Sha Tin on 2024-09-22 was Class 4 over 1400m. MASTER MASTERMIND, ridden by H Bowman and trained by D A Hayes, won by 1/2, with FIRST LOVE second and ALL RICHES third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.8 favourite BALLISTIC WIN finished 7th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | MASTER MASTERMIND | 18.7% | 5.34 | 1 |
| 2 | 3 | BALLISTIC WIN | 17.0% | 5.90 | 7 |
| 3 | 2 | FIRST LOVE | 14.7% | 6.78 | 2 |
| 4 | 4 | ALL RICHES | 9.4% | 10.61 | 3 |
| 5 | 8 | BEER PALACE | 9.0% | 11.07 | 5 |
| 6 | 5 | HIGHLAND RAHY | 7.1% | 14.10 | 6 |
| 7 | 1 | CALIFORNIA DEEPLY | 6.9% | 14.52 | 13 |
| 8 | 10 | RAGNARR | 6.7% | 14.85 | 11 |
| 9 | 12 | STRATHPEFFER | 4.8% | 20.73 | 4 |
| 10 | 13 | FAST AS ROCKET | 1.4% | 71.00 | 12 |
| 11 | 11 | MIU FA FA | 1.4% | 71.18 | 10 |
| 12 | 6 | MAJESTIC SPEED | 1.1% | 91.65 | 8 |
| 13 | 9 | SMASHING EXPRESS | 1.1% | 94.93 | 9 |
| 14 | 14 | FORTUNE COOKIES | 0.6% | 162.49 | 14 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
7 42
PLACE
2 33
4 21
7 16
QUINELLA
2,7 188.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,4 101
2,7 63.5
4,7 46.5
FORECAST
7,2 380
TIERCE
7,2,4 1,977
TRIO
2,4,7 411
FIRST 4
2,4,7,12 935
QUARTET
7,2,4,12 15,638
All pools (2 more)
4TH DOUBLE TRIO
1,3,5/2,4,7 48,824
7TH DOUBLE
5/2 126.5
5/7 314