Sha Tin · 2024-09-22
Race 2
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | RELIABLE PROFIT Closed strongly B-/P1/TT 1.38.99 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bowman · C S Shum | H Bowman | C S Shum | 10 | 5.5 | 2-1/4 |
| 2 | 1 | GO GO GO Closed strongly PC/TT Z Purton · W Y So | Z Purton | W Y So | 1 | 3.8 | 2-1/4 |
| 3 | 7 | COLOURFUL BARON Closed strongly B/TT L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 6 | 19.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 4 | 10 | JOYFUL CHAMPION Closed strongly B/TT K Teetan · C W Chang | K Teetan | C W Chang | 5 | 5.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 5 | 6 | PRECISION GOAL CP1/TT C L Chau · D A Hayes | C L Chau | D A Hayes | 2 | 11.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 6 | 8 | MEDIC ELITE Closed strongly PC/TT M F Poon · P C Ng | M F Poon | P C Ng | 7 | 14.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 7 | 3 | HARRY'S HERO Closed strongly H2 H Bentley · P F Yiu | H Bentley | P F Yiu | 8 | 14.0 | 11-1/4 |
| 8 | 2 | VIVA A LA Led early B/TT P N Wong · K L Man | P N Wong | K L Man | 3 | 7.7 | 12-1/2 |
| 9 | 5 | ASIAN ONE Closed strongly B-/XB/PC2/TT A Atzeni · J Richards | A Atzeni | J Richards | 9 | 15.0 | 18-1/2 |
| 10 | 9 | PATCH OF WATCH SR-/B/TT B Avdulla · K L Man | B Avdulla | K L Man | 4 | 10.0 | 33 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 2 at Sha Tin on 2024-09-22 was Class 5 over 1650m. RELIABLE PROFIT, ridden by H Bowman and trained by C S Shum, won by 2-1/4, with GO GO GO second and COLOURFUL BARON third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.8 favourite GO GO GO finished 2nd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | GO GO GO | 40.8% | 2.45 | 2 |
| 2 | 10 | JOYFUL CHAMPION | 10.6% | 9.45 | 4 |
| 3 | 6 | PRECISION GOAL | 10.4% | 9.62 | 5 |
| 4 | 2 | VIVA A LA | 8.9% | 11.23 | 8 |
| 5 | 4 | RELIABLE PROFIT | 8.6% | 11.59 | 1 |
| 6 | 9 | PATCH OF WATCH | 6.7% | 14.82 | 10 |
| 7 | 8 | MEDIC ELITE | 5.1% | 19.43 | 6 |
| 8 | 3 | HARRY'S HERO | 3.2% | 31.31 | 7 |
| 9 | 5 | ASIAN ONE | 2.9% | 34.51 | 9 |
| 10 | 7 | COLOURFUL BARON | 2.7% | 36.76 | 3 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
4 55
PLACE
1 17
4 17.5
7 55.5
QUINELLA
1,4 102.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,4 43.5
1,7 126.5
4,7 153.5
FORECAST
4,1 226
TIERCE
4,1,7 2,711
TRIO
1,4,7 536
FIRST 4
1,4,7,10 556
QUARTET
4,1,7,10 11,519
All pools (2 more)
1ST DOUBLE
3/1 200.5
3/4 1,839
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
3,8,9/1,4,7 23,379