Sha Tin · 2024-09-22
Race 10
Race 10 at Sha Tin on 2024-09-22 was Class 2 over 1200m. HARMONY N BLESSED, ridden by K De Melo and trained by D A Hayes, won by 1-1/4, with SUPERB CAPITALIST second and COPARTNER PRANCE third. The 3.0 favourite FULL CREDIT finished 10th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | HARMONY N BLESSED B/TT 1.09.35 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K De Melo · D A Hayes | K De Melo | D A Hayes | 5 | 22.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 5 | SUPERB CAPITALIST H/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 1 | 7.1 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 2 | COPARTNER PRANCE XB Z Purton · K W Lui | Z Purton | K W Lui | 3 | 4.1 | 2-1/2 |
| 4 | 3 | BUNDLE OF CHARM P- A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 9 | 41.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 8 | SING DRAGON L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | 4 | 29.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 1 | SON PAK FU B/TT E C W Wong · A S Cruz | E C W Wong | A S Cruz | 7 | 70.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 7 | 10 | WATCH BUDDY P N Wong · P F Yiu | P N Wong | P F Yiu | 2 | 29.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 8 | 6 | YOUNG CHAMPION K Teetan · J Size | K Teetan | J Size | 6 | 3.4 | 5-1/2 |
| 9 | 4 | BEAUTY CHARGE H/TT B Avdulla · A S Cruz | B Avdulla | A S Cruz | 11 | 76.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 10 | 11 | FULL CREDIT L Hewitson · M Newnham | L Hewitson | M Newnham | 8 | 3.0 | 6 |
| 11 | 9 | VICTORY MOMENTS B/SR/TT M Chadwick · F C Lor | M Chadwick | F C Lor | 10 | 25.0 | 6-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | COPARTNER PRANCE | 30.4% | 3.29 | 3 |
| 2 | 11 | FULL CREDIT | 25.8% | 3.87 | 10 |
| 3 | 6 | YOUNG CHAMPION | 11.7% | 8.56 | 8 |
| 4 | 8 | SING DRAGON | 8.2% | 12.21 | 5 |
| 5 | 5 | SUPERB CAPITALIST | 5.6% | 17.79 | 2 |
| 6 | 10 | WATCH BUDDY | 4.8% | 20.80 | 7 |
| 7 | 9 | VICTORY MOMENTS | 4.5% | 22.26 | 11 |
| 8 | 4 | BEAUTY CHARGE | 2.3% | 43.40 | 9 |
| 9 | 1 | SON PAK FU | 2.3% | 44.19 | 6 |
| 10 | 3 | BUNDLE OF CHARM | 2.2% | 45.33 | 4 |
| 11 | 7 | HARMONY N BLESSED | 2.2% | 45.66 | 1 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
7 225
PLACE
2 16
5 22
7 46.5
QUINELLA
5,7 483.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,5 44.5
2,7 115
5,7 129.5
FORECAST
7,5 1,349
TIERCE
7,5,2 5,314
TRIO
2,5,7 550
FIRST 4
2,3,5,7 2,526
QUARTET
7,5,2,3 84,038
All pools (4 more)
2ND TREBLE
7/1/5 136
7/1/7 2,331
5TH DOUBLE TRIO
1,5,9/2,5,7 4,275
9TH DOUBLE
1/5 30
1/7 541
SIX UP
2,3/4,8/1,5/2,7/1,5/5,7 4,706
2/8/5/7/1/7 356,397
6 [D A Hayes] —
1 [Z Purton] —