Sha Tin · 2024-09-22
Race 6
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | TURIN STARSPANGLED Closed strongly TT 1.36.25 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · P C Ng | Z Purton | P C Ng | 2 | 4.9 | 1 |
| 2 | 4 | ILLUMINOUS Closed strongly V H Bowman · F C Lor | H Bowman | F C Lor | 1 | 2.9 | 1 |
| 3 | 1 | AWESOME FLUKE P/TT A Atzeni · P F Yiu | A Atzeni | P F Yiu | 11 | 8.4 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 9 | FLAGSHIP WARRIOR Closed strongly TT A Badel · C Fownes | A Badel | C Fownes | 10 | 8.7 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 3 | UNIVERSAL HORIZON Closed strongly B C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 6 | 9.3 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 6 | FALLON B/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 4 | 9.7 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 10 | BEAUTY LIVE CP/TT K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 3 | 22.0 | 3 |
| 8 | 2 | PACKING HURRICANE Led early B/TT E C W Wong · C Fownes | E C W Wong | C Fownes | 8 | 27.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 9 | 11 | TRUE GENIUS Closed strongly H/SR/TT K Teetan · D J Whyte | K Teetan | D J Whyte | 9 | 38.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 10 | 7 | BRIGHT INHERITANCE B M Chadwick · C H Yip | M Chadwick | C H Yip | 5 | 21.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 11 | 5 | EIGHTEEN CARAT B2 C L Chau · C S Shum | C L Chau | C S Shum | 7 | 15.0 | 4-1/2 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 6 at Sha Tin on 2024-09-22 was Class 3 over 1600m. TURIN STARSPANGLED, ridden by Z Purton and trained by P C Ng, won by 1, with ILLUMINOUS second and AWESOME FLUKE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.9 favourite ILLUMINOUS finished 2nd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | ILLUMINOUS | 20.8% | 4.81 | 2 |
| 2 | 1 | AWESOME FLUKE | 19.4% | 5.16 | 3 |
| 3 | 10 | BEAUTY LIVE | 8.8% | 11.37 | 7 |
| 4 | 8 | TURIN STARSPANGLED | 8.7% | 11.51 | 1 |
| 5 | 5 | EIGHTEEN CARAT | 8.5% | 11.75 | 11 |
| 6 | 3 | UNIVERSAL HORIZON | 8.1% | 12.39 | 5 |
| 7 | 7 | BRIGHT INHERITANCE | 7.2% | 13.84 | 10 |
| 8 | 2 | PACKING HURRICANE | 6.4% | 15.65 | 8 |
| 9 | 6 | FALLON | 6.2% | 16.02 | 6 |
| 10 | 9 | FLAGSHIP WARRIOR | 4.0% | 25.10 | 4 |
| 11 | 11 | TRUE GENIUS | 1.9% | 52.49 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
8 49
PLACE
1 25.5
4 13.5
8 19.5
QUINELLA
4,8 81
QUINELLA PLACE
1,4 46.5
1,8 78.5
4,8 37
FORECAST
8,4 160
TIERCE
8,4,1 948
TRIO
1,4,8 206
FIRST 4
1,4,8,9 322
QUARTET
8,4,1,9 7,272
All pools (3 more)
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
2,3,13/1,4,8 94,242
5TH DOUBLE
2/4 29.5
2/8 199.5
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
3,4,8/2,3,13/Any Combination 1,316,142