Sha Tin · 2024-09-22
Race 1
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | FLOOF Closed strongly CP-/TT 1.39.22 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | 7 | 18.0 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 9 | LUCKY BANNER H/TT L Ferraris · C Fownes | L Ferraris | C Fownes | 2 | 3.1 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 8 | FOREVER FOLKS Closed strongly B B Thompson · C W Chang | B Thompson | C W Chang | 8 | 8.0 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 4 | EXCEL WONGCHOY H/P/TT C Y Ho · P C Ng | C Y Ho | P C Ng | 9 | 7.3 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 7 | HAKKA RADIANCE Led early XB-/CP1/TT K C Leung · C S Shum | K C Leung | C S Shum | 10 | 9.4 | 3 |
| 6 | 2 | VIVA HUNTER TT P N Wong · K L Man | P N Wong | K L Man | 4 | 5.9 | 6-1/4 |
| 7 | 1 | BILLIONAIRE SECRET H/PC/XB/TT2 K Teetan · K H Ting | K Teetan | K H Ting | 1 | 7.7 | 7-1/2 |
| 8 | 10 | GAMEPLAYER WARRIOR SR-/XB/B1/TT M Chadwick · D J Whyte | M Chadwick | D J Whyte | 6 | 46.0 | 9-3/4 |
| 9 | 5 | SOLAR GOGO C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 3 | 7.5 | 9-3/4 |
| 10 | 6 | FORTUNE WHISKEY H/P H T Mo · C W Chang | H T Mo | C W Chang | 5 | 55.0 | 23-3/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 1 at Sha Tin on 2024-09-22 was Class 4 over 1650m. FLOOF, ridden by M F Poon and trained by P F Yiu, won by 3/4, with LUCKY BANNER second and FOREVER FOLKS third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.1 favourite LUCKY BANNER finished 2nd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | LUCKY BANNER | 22.8% | 4.38 | 2 |
| 2 | 1 | BILLIONAIRE SECRET | 14.6% | 6.85 | 7 |
| 3 | 2 | VIVA HUNTER | 14.0% | 7.16 | 6 |
| 4 | 4 | EXCEL WONGCHOY | 11.7% | 8.58 | 4 |
| 5 | 8 | FOREVER FOLKS | 11.1% | 9.03 | 3 |
| 6 | 7 | HAKKA RADIANCE | 8.9% | 11.30 | 5 |
| 7 | 5 | SOLAR GOGO | 8.4% | 11.92 | 9 |
| 8 | 3 | FLOOF | 6.1% | 16.48 | 1 |
| 9 | 6 | FORTUNE WHISKEY | 1.5% | 68.49 | 10 |
| 10 | 10 | GAMEPLAYER WARRIOR | 1.1% | 88.41 | 8 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
3 188
PLACE
3 47
8 23
9 14
QUINELLA
3,9 300
QUINELLA PLACE
3,8 227
3,9 99.5
8,9 45
FORECAST
3,9 875
TIERCE
3,9,8 5,383
TRIO
3,8,9 806
FIRST 4
3,4,8,9 548
QUARTET
3,9,8,4 20,157