跑馬地 · 2024-10-09 · 12:15
第 3場
2024-10-09跑馬地第3場，Class 4，途程1650米。由Z Purton策騎、F C Lor訓練的SUPER UNICORN勝出，贏出5-3/4。CHARITY GAIN獲得亞軍；STRONGEST BOY獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。頭馬以1.4倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | SUPER UNICORN 後段發力 TT 1.39.60 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 1 | 1.4 | 5-3/4 |
| 2 | 4 | CHARITY GAIN 後段發力 B-/XB1/TT C Y Ho · D Eustace | C Y Ho | D Eustace | 7 | 42.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 3 | 6 | STRONGEST BOY 後段發力 B/TT K Teetan · D A Hayes | K Teetan | D A Hayes | 3 | 12.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 4 | 8 | TO INFINITY 後段發力 B/TT B Avdulla · J Richards | B Avdulla | J Richards | 2 | 29.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 5 | 5 | CONFRINGO B-/CP1/TT K C Leung · W K Mo | K C Leung | W K Mo | 4 | 107.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 6 | 9 | BEER PALACE 早段領放 P-/B2 L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | 12 | 19.0 | 9 |
| 7 | 2 | FAIRY HORSE 後段發力 TT A Badel · C Fownes | A Badel | C Fownes | 5 | 10.0 | 9-3/4 |
| 8 | 11 | LITTLE FAIRY B/TT M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | 10 | 23.0 | 10 |
| 9 | 1 | NORTHERN BEAST H Bowman · D J Hall | H Bowman | D J Hall | 11 | 19.0 | 12-3/4 |
| 10 | 3 | KIMBERLEY B/TT C L Chau · C S Shum | C L Chau | C S Shum | 6 | 10.0 | 14-1/2 |
| 11 | 12 | UNITED ENDEAVORS H/TT M L Yeung · W Y So | M L Yeung | W Y So | 9 | 39.0 | 15-3/4 |
| 12 | 10 | ON THE LASH B/XB K De Melo · P C Ng | K De Melo | P C Ng | 8 | 162.0 | 16 |
| — | 0 | FLYING WROTE Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | SUPER UNICORN | 54.4% | 1.84 | 1 |
| 2 | 2 | FAIRY HORSE | 9.4% | 10.69 | 7 |
| 3 | 1 | NORTHERN BEAST | 7.9% | 12.71 | 9 |
| 4 | 9 | BEER PALACE | 6.5% | 15.50 | 6 |
| 5 | 6 | STRONGEST BOY | 5.3% | 18.94 | 3 |
| 6 | 3 | KIMBERLEY | 4.4% | 22.71 | 10 |
| 7 | 8 | TO INFINITY | 3.6% | 27.81 | 4 |
| 8 | 12 | UNITED ENDEAVORS | 3.4% | 29.65 | 11 |
| 9 | 11 | LITTLE FAIRY | 3.0% | 32.90 | 8 |
| 10 | 5 | CONFRINGO | 0.9% | 107.00 | 5 |
| 11 | 4 | CHARITY GAIN | 0.7% | 135.67 | 2 |
| 12 | 10 | ON THE LASH | 0.6% | 177.38 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
7 14.5
PLACE
4 85
6 24
7 11
QUINELLA
4,7 416.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,6 459.5
4,7 150
6,7 32.5
FORECAST
7,4 341
TIERCE
7,4,6 2,207
TRIO
4,6,7 571
FIRST 4
4,6,7,8 1,720
QUARTET
7,4,6,8 21,416
全部彩池（另 1 項）
2ND DOUBLE
10/4 568.5
10/7 247