Happy Valley · 2024-10-09 · 20:11
Race 3
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | SUPER UNICORN Closed strongly TT 1.39.60 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 1 | 1.4 | 5-3/4 |
| 2 | 4 | CHARITY GAIN Closed strongly B-/XB1/TT C Y Ho · D Eustace | C Y Ho | D Eustace | 7 | 42.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 3 | 6 | STRONGEST BOY Closed strongly B/TT K Teetan · D A Hayes | K Teetan | D A Hayes | 3 | 12.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 4 | 8 | TO INFINITY Closed strongly B/TT B Avdulla · J Richards | B Avdulla | J Richards | 2 | 29.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 5 | 5 | CONFRINGO B-/CP1/TT K C Leung · W K Mo | K C Leung | W K Mo | 4 | 107.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 6 | 9 | BEER PALACE Led early P-/B2 L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | 12 | 19.0 | 9 |
| 7 | 2 | FAIRY HORSE Closed strongly TT A Badel · C Fownes | A Badel | C Fownes | 5 | 10.0 | 9-3/4 |
| 8 | 11 | LITTLE FAIRY B/TT M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | 10 | 23.0 | 10 |
| 9 | 1 | NORTHERN BEAST H Bowman · D J Hall | H Bowman | D J Hall | 11 | 19.0 | 12-3/4 |
| 10 | 3 | KIMBERLEY B/TT C L Chau · C S Shum | C L Chau | C S Shum | 6 | 10.0 | 14-1/2 |
| 11 | 12 | UNITED ENDEAVORS H/TT M L Yeung · W Y So | M L Yeung | W Y So | 9 | 39.0 | 15-3/4 |
| 12 | 10 | ON THE LASH B/XB K De Melo · P C Ng | K De Melo | P C Ng | 8 | 162.0 | 16 |
| — | 0 | FLYING WROTE Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | — | — | — |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 3 at Happy Valley on 2024-10-09 was Class 4 over 1650m. SUPER UNICORN, ridden by Z Purton and trained by F C Lor, won by 5-3/4, with CHARITY GAIN second and STRONGEST BOY third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 1.4 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | SUPER UNICORN | 54.4% | 1.84 | 1 |
| 2 | 2 | FAIRY HORSE | 9.4% | 10.69 | 7 |
| 3 | 1 | NORTHERN BEAST | 7.9% | 12.71 | 9 |
| 4 | 9 | BEER PALACE | 6.5% | 15.50 | 6 |
| 5 | 6 | STRONGEST BOY | 5.3% | 18.94 | 3 |
| 6 | 3 | KIMBERLEY | 4.4% | 22.71 | 10 |
| 7 | 8 | TO INFINITY | 3.6% | 27.81 | 4 |
| 8 | 12 | UNITED ENDEAVORS | 3.4% | 29.65 | 11 |
| 9 | 11 | LITTLE FAIRY | 3.0% | 32.90 | 8 |
| 10 | 5 | CONFRINGO | 0.9% | 107.00 | 5 |
| 11 | 4 | CHARITY GAIN | 0.7% | 135.67 | 2 |
| 12 | 10 | ON THE LASH | 0.6% | 177.38 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
7 14.5
PLACE
4 85
6 24
7 11
QUINELLA
4,7 416.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,6 459.5
4,7 150
6,7 32.5
FORECAST
7,4 341
TIERCE
7,4,6 2,207
TRIO
4,6,7 571
FIRST 4
4,6,7,8 1,720
QUARTET
7,4,6,8 21,416
All pools (1 more)
2ND DOUBLE
10/4 568.5
10/7 247