Happy Valley · 2024-10-09 · 19:11
Race 1
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | DRAGON DELIGHT Closed strongly B/TT 1.41.92 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) E C W Wong · D A Hayes | E C W Wong | D A Hayes | 7 | 7.7 | HD |
| 2 | 2 | KASA PAPA Closed strongly TT H Bowman · A S Cruz | H Bowman | A S Cruz | 3 | 4.4 | HD |
| 3 | 7 | RIGHT HONOURABLE Closed strongly B/XB M Chadwick · M Newnham | M Chadwick | M Newnham | 6 | 6.8 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 8 | YEABOI Led early B/TT M F Poon · C H Yip | M F Poon | C H Yip | 5 | 10.0 | 2 |
| 5 | 1 | GO GO GO PC/TT Z Purton · W Y So | Z Purton | W Y So | 4 | 3.4 | 2 |
| 6 | 6 | RUNNING AHEAD C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 1 | 5.2 | 4 |
| 7 | 4 | TATTENHAM H K Teetan · P C Ng | K Teetan | P C Ng | 2 | 9.1 | 4-1/2 |
| 8 | 3 | MISTER FOX CP B Avdulla · D J Hall | B Avdulla | D J Hall | 8 | 42.0 | 4-3/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 1 at Happy Valley on 2024-10-09 was Class 5 over 1650m. DRAGON DELIGHT, ridden by E C W Wong and trained by D A Hayes, won by HD, with KASA PAPA second and RIGHT HONOURABLE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.4 favourite GO GO GO finished 5th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | GO GO GO | 30.1% | 3.32 | 5 |
| 2 | 2 | KASA PAPA | 18.2% | 5.50 | 2 |
| 3 | 8 | YEABOI | 14.9% | 6.69 | 4 |
| 4 | 6 | RUNNING AHEAD | 12.1% | 8.25 | 6 |
| 5 | 4 | TATTENHAM | 9.0% | 11.16 | 7 |
| 6 | 7 | RIGHT HONOURABLE | 8.0% | 12.56 | 3 |
| 7 | 5 | DRAGON DELIGHT | 6.0% | 16.70 | 1 |
| 8 | 3 | MISTER FOX | 1.7% | 57.79 | 8 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
5 77.5
PLACE
2 16.5
5 19.5
7 23
QUINELLA
2,5 180
QUINELLA PLACE
2,5 62
2,7 50.5
5,7 63.5
FORECAST
5,2 388
TIERCE
5,2,7 1,984
TRIO
2,5,7 322
FIRST 4
2,5,7,8 632
QUARTET
5,2,7,8 12,978