Happy Valley · 2024-10-09 · 11:15
Race 1
Race 1 at Happy Valley on 2024-10-09 was Class 5 over 1650m. DRAGON DELIGHT, ridden by E C W Wong and trained by D A Hayes, won by HD, with KASA PAPA second and RIGHT HONOURABLE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.4 favourite GO GO GO finished 5th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | DRAGON DELIGHT Closed strongly B/TT 1.41.92 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) E C W Wong · D A Hayes | E C W Wong | D A Hayes | 7 | 7.7 | HD |
| 2 | 2 | KASA PAPA Closed strongly TT H Bowman · A S Cruz | H Bowman | A S Cruz | 3 | 4.4 | HD |
| 3 | 7 | RIGHT HONOURABLE Closed strongly B/XB M Chadwick · M Newnham | M Chadwick | M Newnham | 6 | 6.8 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 8 | YEABOI Led early B/TT M F Poon · C H Yip | M F Poon | C H Yip | 5 | 10.0 | 2 |
| 5 | 1 | GO GO GO PC/TT Z Purton · W Y So | Z Purton | W Y So | 4 | 3.4 | 2 |
| 6 | 6 | RUNNING AHEAD C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 1 | 5.2 | 4 |
| 7 | 4 | TATTENHAM H K Teetan · P C Ng | K Teetan | P C Ng | 2 | 9.1 | 4-1/2 |
| 8 | 3 | MISTER FOX CP B Avdulla · D J Hall | B Avdulla | D J Hall | 8 | 42.0 | 4-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | GO GO GO | 30.1% | 3.32 | 5 |
| 2 | 2 | KASA PAPA | 18.2% | 5.50 | 2 |
| 3 | 8 | YEABOI | 14.9% | 6.69 | 4 |
| 4 | 6 | RUNNING AHEAD | 12.1% | 8.25 | 6 |
| 5 | 4 | TATTENHAM | 9.0% | 11.16 | 7 |
| 6 | 7 | RIGHT HONOURABLE | 8.0% | 12.56 | 3 |
| 7 | 5 | DRAGON DELIGHT | 6.0% | 16.70 | 1 |
| 8 | 3 | MISTER FOX | 1.7% | 57.79 | 8 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
5 77.5
PLACE
2 16.5
5 19.5
7 23
QUINELLA
2,5 180
QUINELLA PLACE
2,5 62
2,7 50.5
5,7 63.5
FORECAST
5,2 388
TIERCE
5,2,7 1,984
TRIO
2,5,7 322
FIRST 4
2,5,7,8 632
QUARTET
5,2,7,8 12,978