Happy Valley · 2024-10-09 · 11:45
Race 2
Race 2 at Happy Valley on 2024-10-09 was Class 5 over 1000m. DOUBLE SHOW, ridden by H Bentley and trained by D J Whyte, won by 1, with SPEEDY FORTUNE second and PARENTS' LOVE third. The 3.6 favourite PARENTS' LOVE finished 3rd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | DOUBLE SHOW B/TT 0.57.51 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bentley · D J Whyte | H Bentley | D J Whyte | 3 | 9.5 | 1 |
| 2 | 2 | SPEEDY FORTUNE P-/TT1 A Atzeni · D Eustace | A Atzeni | D Eustace | 6 | 6.5 | 1 |
| 3 | 1 | PARENTS' LOVE H/TT Z Purton · A S Cruz | Z Purton | A S Cruz | 9 | 3.6 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 6 | DIAMOND SOARS P-/TT C L Chau · P F Yiu | C L Chau | P F Yiu | 4 | 6.8 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 4 | GOOD VIEW GLORY B B Avdulla · C H Yip | B Avdulla | C H Yip | 1 | 12.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 6 | 9 | MAGIC TRAVELLER CP/TT M L Yeung · W Y So | M L Yeung | W Y So | 7 | 22.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 7 | 3 | ACE TALENT H/P/TT H Bowman · C Fownes | H Bowman | C Fownes | 8 | 3.6 | 6-1/4 |
| 8 | 8 | GOODMANSHIP B/TT K Teetan · D J Whyte | K Teetan | D J Whyte | 2 | 28.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 9 | 7 | PLENTIFUL CP/H/XB L Ferraris · P C Ng | L Ferraris | P C Ng | 10 | 13.0 | 8 |
| 10 | 5 | LAPRAS CP/TT K De Melo · W K Mo | K De Melo | W K Mo | 5 | 39.0 | 10 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | GOOD VIEW GLORY | 22.1% | 4.53 | 5 |
| 2 | 1 | PARENTS' LOVE | 17.0% | 5.90 | 3 |
| 3 | 3 | ACE TALENT | 13.7% | 7.30 | 7 |
| 4 | 2 | SPEEDY FORTUNE | 12.4% | 8.04 | 2 |
| 5 | 10 | DOUBLE SHOW | 10.8% | 9.30 | 1 |
| 6 | 8 | GOODMANSHIP | 5.5% | 18.08 | 8 |
| 7 | 6 | DIAMOND SOARS | 5.4% | 18.47 | 4 |
| 8 | 9 | MAGIC TRAVELLER | 4.8% | 20.91 | 6 |
| 9 | 5 | LAPRAS | 4.6% | 21.86 | 10 |
| 10 | 7 | PLENTIFUL | 3.8% | 26.38 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
10 95
PLACE
1 16
2 21.5
10 28
QUINELLA
2,10 403.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 61.5
1,10 60
2,10 115.5
FORECAST
10,2 777
TIERCE
10,2,1 4,251
TRIO
1,2,10 461
FIRST 4
1,2,6,10 651
QUARTET
10,2,1,6 22,880
All pools (2 more)
1ST DOUBLE
5/2 46.5
5/10 660
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
2,5,7/1,2,10 15,806