跑馬地 · 2024-10-09 · 13:45
第 6場
2024-10-09跑馬地第6場，Class 4，途程1200米。由Z Purton策騎、D Eustace訓練的SWIFT ASCEND勝出，贏出1-1/4。GIMME FIVE獲得亞軍；SMART FIGHTER獲得季軍。頭馬以3.1倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | SWIFT ASCEND XB-/B1/TT1 1.10.12 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · D Eustace | Z Purton | D Eustace | 3 | 3.1 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 10 | GIMME FIVE B1 C Y Ho · F C Lor | C Y Ho | F C Lor | 10 | 18.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 8 | SMART FIGHTER TT A Atzeni · P F Yiu | A Atzeni | P F Yiu | 7 | 5.3 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 9 | TALENTS SUPREMO V/TT K Teetan · W K Mo | K Teetan | W K Mo | 1 | 4.0 | 3 |
| 5 | 6 | YOU'REMYEVERYTHING B-/TT- H T Mo · C W Chang | H T Mo | C W Chang | 5 | 25.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 6 | 5 | EN PERFECTO CP1/TT M F Poon · C S Shum | M F Poon | C S Shum | 8 | 29.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 11 | SUPER GLORY PC A Badel · P C Ng | A Badel | P C Ng | 11 | 28.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 8 | 4 | LEAN MASTER B/TT H Bentley · C H Yip | H Bentley | C H Yip | 12 | 20.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 9 | 7 | SKY SONG TT B Thompson · C Fownes | B Thompson | C Fownes | 2 | 8.8 | 6-3/4 |
| 10 | 12 | WINNING HEART V/TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 4 | 27.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 11 | 2 | KING GLORIOSO CP H Bowman · D J Whyte | H Bowman | D J Whyte | 6 | 43.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 12 | 3 | NEBRASKAN PC B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 9 | 13.0 | 9-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | TALENTS SUPREMO | 29.6% | 3.38 | 4 |
| 2 | 1 | SWIFT ASCEND | 14.9% | 6.71 | 1 |
| 3 | 7 | SKY SONG | 9.4% | 10.62 | 9 |
| 4 | 8 | SMART FIGHTER | 9.1% | 11.00 | 3 |
| 5 | 4 | LEAN MASTER | 8.7% | 11.52 | 8 |
| 6 | 3 | NEBRASKAN | 5.5% | 18.22 | 12 |
| 7 | 10 | GIMME FIVE | 5.2% | 19.13 | 2 |
| 8 | 12 | WINNING HEART | 5.1% | 19.68 | 10 |
| 9 | 11 | SUPER GLORY | 4.0% | 25.13 | 7 |
| 10 | 2 | KING GLORIOSO | 3.8% | 26.50 | 11 |
| 11 | 6 | YOU'REMYEVERYTHING | 3.2% | 30.99 | 5 |
| 12 | 5 | EN PERFECTO | 1.5% | 64.85 | 6 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
1 31.5
PLACE
1 16
8 17.5
10 49.5
QUINELLA
1,10 302.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,8 42
1,10 109.5
8,10 146.5
FORECAST
1,10 483
TIERCE
1,10,8 2,302
TRIO
1,8,10 656
FIRST 4
1,8,9,10 291
QUARTET
1,10,8,9 5,840
全部彩池（另 4 項）
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
5,7,12/1,8,10 22,571
5TH DOUBLE
5/1 132.5
5/10 128.5
TRIPLE TRIO
1,3,6/5,7,12/1,8,10 975,636
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
1,3,6/5,7,12/Any Combination 2,182