跑馬地 · 2024-10-09 · 13:15
第 5場
2024-10-09跑馬地第5場，Class 4，途程1200米。由H Bowman策騎、J Richards訓練的GALLANT VALOUR勝出，贏出SH。TACTICAL COMMAND獲得亞軍；HAPPY PARK獲得季軍。頭馬以4.2倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | GALLANT VALOUR B/TT 1.10.49 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） H Bowman · J Richards | H Bowman | J Richards | 4 | 4.2 | SH |
| 2 | 12 | TACTICAL COMMAND B A Badel · M Newnham | A Badel | M Newnham | 6 | 8.2 | SH |
| 3 | 7 | HAPPY PARK XB A Atzeni · K W Lui | A Atzeni | K W Lui | 3 | 6.8 | N |
| 4 | 3 | HAYDAY H/XB M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | 12 | 7.4 | 1 |
| 5 | 9 | GLORY B CP/H M Chadwick · D J Whyte | M Chadwick | D J Whyte | 5 | 5.6 | 1-1/2 |
| 6 | 11 | SKY PROPHET CP1/TT L Hewitson · C Fownes | L Hewitson | C Fownes | 10 | 13.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 7 | 8 | TELECOM POWER B K De Melo · Y S Tsui | K De Melo | Y S Tsui | 11 | 65.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 8 | 6 | HAPPY SOUL CP/TT K H Chan · C S Shum | K H Chan | C S Shum | 8 | 18.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 9 | 1 | HIGH PERCENTAGE TT Z Purton · T P Yung | Z Purton | T P Yung | 1 | 8.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 10 | 2 | NATURAL HIGH B Thompson · D J Hall | B Thompson | D J Hall | 2 | 106.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 11 | 10 | CURRAHEE CP/TT K C Leung · W K Mo | K C Leung | W K Mo | 7 | 11.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 12 | 4 | PANDA B Y L Chung · C H Yip | Y L Chung | C H Yip | 9 | 32.0 | 5-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | HIGH PERCENTAGE | 21.3% | 4.69 | 9 |
| 2 | 5 | GALLANT VALOUR | 18.3% | 5.46 | 1 |
| 3 | 3 | HAYDAY | 13.5% | 7.43 | 4 |
| 4 | 9 | GLORY B | 11.4% | 8.74 | 5 |
| 5 | 12 | TACTICAL COMMAND | 9.4% | 10.61 | 2 |
| 6 | 7 | HAPPY PARK | 7.1% | 14.07 | 3 |
| 7 | 11 | SKY PROPHET | 5.1% | 19.61 | 6 |
| 8 | 6 | HAPPY SOUL | 4.0% | 24.82 | 8 |
| 9 | 4 | PANDA | 3.8% | 26.35 | 12 |
| 10 | 10 | CURRAHEE | 3.8% | 26.38 | 11 |
| 11 | 8 | TELECOM POWER | 1.5% | 67.78 | 7 |
| 12 | 2 | NATURAL HIGH | 0.7% | 137.10 | 10 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
5 42.5
PLACE
5 17.5
7 27.5
12 25
QUINELLA
5,12 166.5
QUINELLA PLACE
5,7 67.5
5,12 60.5
7,12 109.5
FORECAST
5,12 344
TIERCE
5,12,7 2,468
TRIO
5,7,12 429
FIRST 4
3,5,7,12 621
QUARTET
5,12,7,3 13,950
全部彩池（另 2 項）
1ST TREBLE
7/3/5 238
7/3/12 88
4TH DOUBLE
3/5 193.5
3/12 63