沙田 · 2024-10-13 · 10:00
第 10場
2024-10-13沙田第10場，Class 2，途程1200米。由Z Purton策騎、J Size訓練的WUNDERBAR勝出，贏出N。BOTTOMUPTOGETHER獲得亞軍；GORGEOUS WIN獲得季軍。頭馬以1.9倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | WUNDERBAR 1.08.29 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 1 | 1.9 | N |
| 2 | 12 | BOTTOMUPTOGETHER SR M Chadwick · F C Lor | M Chadwick | F C Lor | 11 | 5.3 | N |
| 3 | 8 | GORGEOUS WIN TT M F Poon · C S Shum | M F Poon | C S Shum | 10 | 8.4 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 11 | SING DRAGON L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | 8 | 107.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 5 | 2 | BUNDLE OF CHARM A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 3 | 47.0 | 4 |
| 6 | 5 | LUCKY ENCOUNTER A Atzeni · D A Hayes | A Atzeni | D A Hayes | 13 | 14.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 7 | 10 | SEASONS WIT SR/TT C Y Ho · J Richards | C Y Ho | J Richards | 5 | 134.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 8 | 13 | WONDERSTAR K Teetan · P C Ng | K Teetan | P C Ng | 4 | 37.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 9 | 3 | ATULLIBIGEAL B/H/XB H Bowman · D J Hall | H Bowman | D J Hall | 2 | 33.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 10 | 9 | WONDER KIT B M L Yeung · K W Lui | M L Yeung | K W Lui | 12 | 87.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 11 | 14 | VICTORY MOMENTS B/SR/TT H Bentley · F C Lor | H Bentley | F C Lor | 7 | 171.0 | 10-1/4 |
| 12 | 7 | CALL ME GLORIOUS L Hewitson · K W Lui | L Hewitson | K W Lui | 9 | 7.0 | 13 |
| 13 | 4 | SUPERB CAPITALIST H/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 6 | 21.0 | 14 |
| 14 | 1 | SON PAK FU B/TT C L Chau · A S Cruz | C L Chau | A S Cruz | 14 | 109.0 | 52 |
| — | 0 | WATCH BUDDY H Bentley · P F Yiu | H Bentley | P F Yiu | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | WUNDERBAR | 42.6% | 2.35 | 1 |
| 2 | 12 | BOTTOMUPTOGETHER | 13.3% | 7.50 | 2 |
| 3 | 7 | CALL ME GLORIOUS | 10.5% | 9.55 | 12 |
| 4 | 3 | ATULLIBIGEAL | 6.2% | 16.01 | 9 |
| 5 | 5 | LUCKY ENCOUNTER | 5.0% | 20.00 | 6 |
| 6 | 13 | WONDERSTAR | 4.7% | 21.43 | 8 |
| 7 | 8 | GORGEOUS WIN | 4.4% | 22.78 | 3 |
| 8 | 11 | SING DRAGON | 2.9% | 34.94 | 4 |
| 9 | 4 | SUPERB CAPITALIST | 2.4% | 41.23 | 13 |
| 10 | 14 | VICTORY MOMENTS | 2.1% | 47.29 | 11 |
| 11 | 1 | SON PAK FU | 1.9% | 51.69 | 14 |
| 12 | 2 | BUNDLE OF CHARM | 1.5% | 66.60 | 5 |
| 13 | 9 | WONDER KIT | 1.3% | 79.49 | 10 |
| 14 | 10 | SEASONS WIT | 1.2% | 80.99 | 7 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
6 19
PLACE
6 12
8 24.5
12 17
QUINELLA
6,12 45
QUINELLA PLACE
6,8 36.5
6,12 21
8,12 62
FORECAST
6,12 66
TIERCE
6,12,8 331
TRIO
6,8,12 126
FIRST 4
6,8,11,12 1,507
QUARTET
6,12,8,11 9,250
全部彩池（另 4 項）
2ND TREBLE
1/5/6 87
1/5/12 79
5TH DOUBLE TRIO
4,5,10/6,8,12 5,548
9TH DOUBLE
5/6 39
5/12 18
SIX UP
1/5/4/1/5/6 1,117
1,11/5,14/1,4/1,7/5,10/6,12 153
5 [D A Hayes] —
1 [Z Purton] —