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Sha Tin · 2024-10-13 · 10:00

Race 10

Class 2 1200m Course A+3 14 runners

Race 10 at Sha Tin on 2024-10-13 was Class 2 over 1200m. WUNDERBAR, ridden by Z Purton and trained by J Size, won by N, with BOTTOMUPTOGETHER second and GORGEOUS WIN third. Victory came as the 1.9 favourite.

Result

Official · 1.08.29
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 6 WUNDERBAR 1.08.29 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · J Size 1 1.9 N
2 12 BOTTOMUPTOGETHER SR M Chadwick · F C Lor 11 5.3 N
3 8 GORGEOUS WIN TT M F Poon · C S Shum 10 8.4 1-1/2
4 11 SING DRAGON L Ferraris · M Newnham 8 107.0 3-3/4
5 2 BUNDLE OF CHARM A Badel · J Size 3 47.0 4
6 5 LUCKY ENCOUNTER A Atzeni · D A Hayes 13 14.0 4-1/2
7 10 SEASONS WIT SR/TT C Y Ho · J Richards 5 134.0 4-3/4
8 13 WONDERSTAR K Teetan · P C Ng 4 37.0 5-1/2
9 3 ATULLIBIGEAL B/H/XB H Bowman · D J Hall 2 33.0 5-3/4
10 9 WONDER KIT B M L Yeung · K W Lui 12 87.0 7-3/4
11 14 VICTORY MOMENTS B/SR/TT H Bentley · F C Lor 7 171.0 10-1/4
12 7 CALL ME GLORIOUS L Hewitson · K W Lui 9 7.0 13
13 4 SUPERB CAPITALIST H/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz 6 21.0 14
14 1 SON PAK FU B/TT C L Chau · A S Cruz 14 109.0 52
0 WATCH BUDDY H Bentley · P F Yiu

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. WUNDERBAR2. BOTTOMUPTOGETHER+0.05L3. GORGEOUS WIN+1.5L4. SING DRAGON+3.75L5. BUNDLE OF CHARM+4L6. LUCKY ENCOUNTER+4.5L7. SEASONS WIT+4.75L8. WONDERSTAR+5.5L9. ATULLIBIGEAL+5.75L10. WONDER KIT+7.75L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2024-25
The model's top pick WUNDERBAR (42.6%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 6 WUNDERBAR 42.6% 2.35 1
2 12 BOTTOMUPTOGETHER 13.3% 7.50 2
3 7 CALL ME GLORIOUS 10.5% 9.55 12
4 3 ATULLIBIGEAL 6.2% 16.01 9
5 5 LUCKY ENCOUNTER 5.0% 20.00 6
6 13 WONDERSTAR 4.7% 21.43 8
7 8 GORGEOUS WIN 4.4% 22.78 3
8 11 SING DRAGON 2.9% 34.94 4
9 4 SUPERB CAPITALIST 2.4% 41.23 13
10 14 VICTORY MOMENTS 2.1% 47.29 11
11 1 SON PAK FU 1.9% 51.69 14
12 2 BUNDLE OF CHARM 1.5% 66.60 5
13 9 WONDER KIT 1.3% 79.49 10
14 10 SEASONS WIT 1.2% 80.99 7
WUNDERBAR — wonBOTTOMUPTOGETHERCALL ME GLORIOUSATULLIBIGEALLUCKY ENCOUNTERWONDERSTARGORGEOUS WINSING DRAGONSUPERB CAPITALISTVICTORY MOMENTSSON PAK FUBUNDLE OF CHARMWONDER KITSEASONS WIT

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

6 19

PLACE

6 12

8 24.5

12 17

QUINELLA

6,12 45

QUINELLA PLACE

6,8 36.5

6,12 21

8,12 62

FORECAST

6,12 66

TIERCE

6,12,8 331

TRIO

6,8,12 126

FIRST 4

6,8,11,12 1,507

QUARTET

6,12,8,11 9,250

All pools (4 more)

2ND TREBLE

1/5/6 87

1/5/12 79

5TH DOUBLE TRIO

4,5,10/6,8,12 5,548

9TH DOUBLE

5/6 39

5/12 18

SIX UP

1/5/4/1/5/6 1,117

1,11/5,14/1,4/1,7/5,10/6,12 153

5 [D A Hayes]

1 [Z Purton]