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Sha Tin · 2024-10-13 · 17:23

Race 9

Class 3 1400m Course A+3 13 runners

Result

Official · 1.21.71
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 5 LUCY IN THE SKY Wire to wire H 1.21.71 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · Y S Tsui 3 2.8 1/2
2 10 PRINCE OF PORTY Closed strongly B/TT H Bentley · D J Hall 6 11.0 1/2
3 4 GRACIOUS EXPRESS Closed strongly CP K C Leung · P F Yiu 11 6.9 3/4
4 6 SILO Closed strongly CP B Avdulla · M Newnham 12 9.9 3/4
5 12 ACROSS DA UNIVERSE Closed strongly XB2/TT M F Poon · P C Ng 2 67.0 1-1/4
6 8 AMAZING VICTORY TT C Y Ho · W Y So 4 10.0 1-1/2
7 3 BEAUTY CRESCENT Closed strongly TT H Bowman · A S Cruz 13 11.0 1-3/4
8 1 SPEED DRAGON Closed strongly B A Atzeni · K W Lui 5 44.0 2-1/2
8 13 FIRST LOVE Closed strongly TT A Badel · P C Ng 9 8.2 2-1/2
10 2 YOUNG ACHIEVER Closed strongly SR/TT Z Purton · J Richards 7 12.0 3
11 7 STORM RIDER L Hewitson · D A Hayes 10 12.0 4-1/2
12 11 THE WAY WE WIN CP/TT M L Yeung · C S Shum 8 186.0 5-3/4
13 9 MASSIVE ACTION SR/V Y L Chung · F C Lor 1 67.0 6

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 9 at Sha Tin on 2024-10-13 was Class 3 over 1400m. LUCY IN THE SKY, ridden by K Teetan and trained by Y S Tsui, won by 1/2, with PRINCE OF PORTY second and GRACIOUS EXPRESS third. The winner led throughout. Victory came as the 2.8 favourite.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. LUCY IN THE SKY—2. PRINCE OF PORTY+0.5L3. GRACIOUS EXPRESS+0.75L4. SILO+0.75L5. ACROSS DA UNIVERSE+1.25L6. AMAZING VICTORY+1.5L7. BEAUTY CRESCENT+1.75L8. SPEED DRAGON+2.5L8. FIRST LOVE+2.5L10. YOUNG ACHIEVER+3L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2024-25
The model's top pick LUCY IN THE SKY (26.2%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 5 LUCY IN THE SKY 26.2% 3.82 1
2 2 YOUNG ACHIEVER 13.2% 7.56 10
3 13 FIRST LOVE 13.1% 7.66 8
4 3 BEAUTY CRESCENT 9.5% 10.55 7
5 6 SILO 8.3% 12.05 4
6 4 GRACIOUS EXPRESS 8.2% 12.13 3
7 10 PRINCE OF PORTY 5.0% 19.99 2
8 7 STORM RIDER 4.2% 23.88 11
9 8 AMAZING VICTORY 3.9% 25.56 6
10 1 SPEED DRAGON 3.2% 30.95 8
11 9 MASSIVE ACTION 2.2% 45.70 13
12 12 ACROSS DA UNIVERSE 2.2% 45.90 5
13 11 THE WAY WE WIN 0.8% 119.26 12
LUCY IN THE SKY — wonYOUNG ACHIEVERFIRST LOVEBEAUTY CRESCENTSILOGRACIOUS EXPRESSPRINCE OF PORTYSTORM RIDERAMAZING VICTORYSPEED DRAGONMASSIVE ACTIONACROSS DA UNIVERSETHE WAY WE WIN

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

5 28

PLACE

4 20

5 16

10 35

QUINELLA

5,10 198

QUINELLA PLACE

4,5 33.5

4,10 127

5,10 71.5

FORECAST

5,10 338

TIERCE

5,10,4 2,132

TRIO

4,5,10 441

FIRST 4

4,5,6,10 800

QUARTET

5,10,4,6 12,270

All pools (1 more)

8TH DOUBLE

1/5 68

1/10 144.5