Sha Tin · 2024-10-13 · 09:25
Race 9
Race 9 at Sha Tin on 2024-10-13 was Class 3 over 1400m. LUCY IN THE SKY, ridden by K Teetan and trained by Y S Tsui, won by 1/2, with PRINCE OF PORTY second and GRACIOUS EXPRESS third. The winner led throughout. Victory came as the 2.8 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | LUCY IN THE SKY Wire to wire H 1.21.71 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · Y S Tsui | K Teetan | Y S Tsui | 3 | 2.8 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 10 | PRINCE OF PORTY Closed strongly B/TT H Bentley · D J Hall | H Bentley | D J Hall | 6 | 11.0 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 4 | GRACIOUS EXPRESS Closed strongly CP K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 11 | 6.9 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 6 | SILO Closed strongly CP B Avdulla · M Newnham | B Avdulla | M Newnham | 12 | 9.9 | 3/4 |
| 5 | 12 | ACROSS DA UNIVERSE Closed strongly XB2/TT M F Poon · P C Ng | M F Poon | P C Ng | 2 | 67.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 6 | 8 | AMAZING VICTORY TT C Y Ho · W Y So | C Y Ho | W Y So | 4 | 10.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 7 | 3 | BEAUTY CRESCENT Closed strongly TT H Bowman · A S Cruz | H Bowman | A S Cruz | 13 | 11.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 8 | 1 | SPEED DRAGON Closed strongly B A Atzeni · K W Lui | A Atzeni | K W Lui | 5 | 44.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 8 | 13 | FIRST LOVE Closed strongly TT A Badel · P C Ng | A Badel | P C Ng | 9 | 8.2 | 2-1/2 |
| 10 | 2 | YOUNG ACHIEVER Closed strongly SR/TT Z Purton · J Richards | Z Purton | J Richards | 7 | 12.0 | 3 |
| 11 | 7 | STORM RIDER L Hewitson · D A Hayes | L Hewitson | D A Hayes | 10 | 12.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 12 | 11 | THE WAY WE WIN CP/TT M L Yeung · C S Shum | M L Yeung | C S Shum | 8 | 186.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 13 | 9 | MASSIVE ACTION SR/V Y L Chung · F C Lor | Y L Chung | F C Lor | 1 | 67.0 | 6 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | LUCY IN THE SKY | 26.2% | 3.82 | 1 |
| 2 | 2 | YOUNG ACHIEVER | 13.2% | 7.56 | 10 |
| 3 | 13 | FIRST LOVE | 13.1% | 7.66 | 8 |
| 4 | 3 | BEAUTY CRESCENT | 9.5% | 10.55 | 7 |
| 5 | 6 | SILO | 8.3% | 12.05 | 4 |
| 6 | 4 | GRACIOUS EXPRESS | 8.2% | 12.13 | 3 |
| 7 | 10 | PRINCE OF PORTY | 5.0% | 19.99 | 2 |
| 8 | 7 | STORM RIDER | 4.2% | 23.88 | 11 |
| 9 | 8 | AMAZING VICTORY | 3.9% | 25.56 | 6 |
| 10 | 1 | SPEED DRAGON | 3.2% | 30.95 | 8 |
| 11 | 9 | MASSIVE ACTION | 2.2% | 45.70 | 13 |
| 12 | 12 | ACROSS DA UNIVERSE | 2.2% | 45.90 | 5 |
| 13 | 11 | THE WAY WE WIN | 0.8% | 119.26 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
5 28
PLACE
4 20
5 16
10 35
QUINELLA
5,10 198
QUINELLA PLACE
4,5 33.5
4,10 127
5,10 71.5
FORECAST
5,10 338
TIERCE
5,10,4 2,132
TRIO
4,5,10 441
FIRST 4
4,5,6,10 800
QUARTET
5,10,4,6 12,270
All pools (1 more)
8TH DOUBLE
1/5 68
1/10 144.5