Sha Tin · 2024-10-13 · 08:15
Race 7
Race 7 at Sha Tin on 2024-10-13 was Group 2 over 1600m. GALAXY PATCH, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by P C Ng, won by 1-1/2, with VOYAGE BUBBLE second and CHANCHENG GLORY third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 2.1 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | GALAXY PATCH Closed strongly 1.33.49 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · P C Ng | C Y Ho | P C Ng | 2 | 2.1 | 1-1/2 |
| 2 | 1 | VOYAGE BUBBLE Closed strongly CP A Atzeni · P F Yiu | A Atzeni | P F Yiu | 8 | 10.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 3 | 8 | CHANCHENG GLORY V/XB L Hewitson · K W Lui | L Hewitson | K W Lui | 9 | 4.4 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 6 | STRAIGHT ARRON Closed strongly XB1 B Avdulla · P F Yiu | B Avdulla | P F Yiu | 3 | 34.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 3 | BEAUTY JOY TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 1 | 18.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 2 | BEAUTY ETERNAL Led early Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 6 | 4.9 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 10 | THE GOLDEN SCENERY TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 5 | 21.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 8 | 5 | RED LION H Bowman · J Size | H Bowman | J Size | 7 | 16.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 9 | 9 | LA CITY BLANCHE TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 4 | 64.0 | 8 |
| — | 7 | HAPPY TOGETHER A Badel · F C Lor | A Badel | F C Lor | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | GALAXY PATCH | 24.5% | 4.08 | 1 |
| 2 | 2 | BEAUTY ETERNAL | 19.7% | 5.07 | 6 |
| 3 | 8 | CHANCHENG GLORY | 18.8% | 5.33 | 3 |
| 4 | 5 | RED LION | 10.7% | 9.39 | 8 |
| 5 | 1 | VOYAGE BUBBLE | 9.4% | 10.69 | 2 |
| 6 | 3 | BEAUTY JOY | 6.1% | 16.43 | 5 |
| 7 | 6 | STRAIGHT ARRON | 4.1% | 24.24 | 4 |
| 8 | 10 | THE GOLDEN SCENERY | 4.0% | 25.22 | 7 |
| 9 | 9 | LA CITY BLANCHE | 2.8% | 35.61 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
4 21
PLACE
1 29
4 11
8 15.5
QUINELLA
1,4 111
QUINELLA PLACE
1,4 43.5
1,8 71.5
4,8 21
FORECAST
4,1 193
TIERCE
4,1,8 631
TRIO
1,4,8 140
FIRST 4
1,4,6,8 535
QUARTET
4,1,8,6 6,807
All pools (1 more)
6TH DOUBLE
5/1 73
5/4 41.5