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Sha Tin · 2024-10-13 · 16:13

Race 7

Group 2 1600m Course A+3 9 runners

Result

Official · 1.33.49
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 4 GALAXY PATCH Closed strongly 1.33.49 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · P C Ng 2 2.1 1-1/2
2 1 VOYAGE BUBBLE Closed strongly CP A Atzeni · P F Yiu 8 10.0 1-1/2
3 8 CHANCHENG GLORY V/XB L Hewitson · K W Lui 9 4.4 1-1/2
4 6 STRAIGHT ARRON Closed strongly XB1 B Avdulla · P F Yiu 3 34.0 1-3/4
5 3 BEAUTY JOY TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz 1 18.0 1-3/4
6 2 BEAUTY ETERNAL Led early Z Purton · J Size 6 4.9 2-1/2
7 10 THE GOLDEN SCENERY TT K Teetan · A S Cruz 5 21.0 2-1/2
8 5 RED LION H Bowman · J Size 7 16.0 5-3/4
9 9 LA CITY BLANCHE TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz 4 64.0 8
— 7 HAPPY TOGETHER A Badel · F C Lor — — —

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 7 at Sha Tin on 2024-10-13 was Group 2 over 1600m. GALAXY PATCH, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by P C Ng, won by 1-1/2, with VOYAGE BUBBLE second and CHANCHENG GLORY third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 2.1 favourite.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. GALAXY PATCH—2. VOYAGE BUBBLE+1.5L3. CHANCHENG GLORY+1.5L4. STRAIGHT ARRON+1.75L5. BEAUTY JOY+1.75L6. BEAUTY ETERNAL+2.5L7. THE GOLDEN SCENERY+2.5L8. RED LION+5.75L9. LA CITY BLANCHE+8L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2024-25
The model's top pick GALAXY PATCH (24.5%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 4 GALAXY PATCH 24.5% 4.08 1
2 2 BEAUTY ETERNAL 19.7% 5.07 6
3 8 CHANCHENG GLORY 18.8% 5.33 3
4 5 RED LION 10.7% 9.39 8
5 1 VOYAGE BUBBLE 9.4% 10.69 2
6 3 BEAUTY JOY 6.1% 16.43 5
7 6 STRAIGHT ARRON 4.1% 24.24 4
8 10 THE GOLDEN SCENERY 4.0% 25.22 7
9 9 LA CITY BLANCHE 2.8% 35.61 9
GALAXY PATCH — wonBEAUTY ETERNALCHANCHENG GLORYRED LIONVOYAGE BUBBLEBEAUTY JOYSTRAIGHT ARRONTHE GOLDEN SCENERYLA CITY BLANCHE

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

4 21

PLACE

1 29

4 11

8 15.5

QUINELLA

1,4 111

QUINELLA PLACE

1,4 43.5

1,8 71.5

4,8 21

FORECAST

4,1 193

TIERCE

4,1,8 631

TRIO

1,4,8 140

FIRST 4

1,4,6,8 535

QUARTET

4,1,8,6 6,807

All pools (1 more)

6TH DOUBLE

5/1 73

5/4 41.5