Skip to content

HKJC Guru is an independent statistics service and is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or connected to The Hong Kong Jockey Club.

Sha Tin · 2024-10-13 · 07:15

Race 5

Class 4 1200m Course A+3 14 runners

Race 5 at Sha Tin on 2024-10-13 was Class 4 over 1200m. AWESOME TREASURE, ridden by P N Wong and trained by D A Hayes, won by 2-1/4, with MASTER OF ALL second and THRIVING BROTHERS third. The 3.3 favourite THRIVING BROTHERS finished 3rd.

Result

Official · 1.08.89
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 1 AWESOME TREASURE TT 1.08.89 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) P N Wong · D A Hayes 10 5.7 2-1/4
2 11 MASTER OF ALL B/TT M L Yeung · W Y So 4 4.8 2-1/4
3 3 THRIVING BROTHERS XB Z Purton · D J Whyte 7 3.3 3-1/2
4 5 ENDEARED XB H Bowman · J Size 11 9.4 3-3/4
5 7 CLASSIC CENTURY L Ferraris · M Newnham 2 9.9 4-3/4
6 14 GANGNAM STAR XB A Badel · P C Ng 5 11.0 5-1/2
7 2 CAPITAL LEGEND TT E C W Wong · C Fownes 6 41.0 5-3/4
8 4 CALIFORNIA DEEPLY CP-/B1/TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz 12 15.0 6-1/4
9 13 CIRCUIT MAXIMUS XB1/TT M F Poon · C S Shum 3 25.0 6-1/2
10 6 WRITTEN CASA B2/TT A Hamelin · J Richards 9 100.0 7
11 12 RUN RUN COOL PC L Hewitson · F C Lor 14 90.0 7
12 9 LOVING VIBES H/CP1 C Y Ho · K W Lui 8 19.0 8-1/4
13 8 DRALA K Teetan · P F Yiu 1 63.0 8-1/2
14 10 REWARDING TWINKLE TT1 C L Chau · K L Man 13 73.0 9-1/4

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. AWESOME TREASURE2. MASTER OF ALL+2.25L3. THRIVING BROTHERS+3.5L4. ENDEARED+3.75L5. CLASSIC CENTURY+4.75L6. GANGNAM STAR+5.5L7. CAPITAL LEGEND+5.75L8. CALIFORNIA DEEPLY+6.25L9. CIRCUIT MAXIMUS+6.5L10. WRITTEN CASA+7L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2024-25
The model's top pick THRIVING BROTHERS (18.2%) finished 3rd — the winner AWESOME TREASURE was rated #6. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 3 THRIVING BROTHERS 18.2% 5.50 3
2 11 MASTER OF ALL 15.7% 6.35 2
3 5 ENDEARED 10.2% 9.76 4
4 7 CLASSIC CENTURY 9.0% 11.11 5
5 4 CALIFORNIA DEEPLY 7.7% 13.03 8
6 1 AWESOME TREASURE 7.3% 13.70 1
7 14 GANGNAM STAR 7.1% 14.11 6
8 9 LOVING VIBES 6.8% 14.70 12
9 8 DRALA 4.9% 20.33 13
10 2 CAPITAL LEGEND 4.3% 23.08 7
11 10 REWARDING TWINKLE 2.8% 35.40 14
12 12 RUN RUN COOL 2.8% 36.12 11
13 13 CIRCUIT MAXIMUS 2.3% 42.63 9
14 6 WRITTEN CASA 0.8% 132.26 10
THRIVING BROTHERSMASTER OF ALLENDEAREDCLASSIC CENTURYCALIFORNIA DEEPLYAWESOME TREASURE — wonGANGNAM STARLOVING VIBESDRALACAPITAL LEGENDREWARDING TWINKLERUN RUN COOLCIRCUIT MAXIMUSWRITTEN CASA

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

1 57.5

PLACE

1 21

3 16

11 16.5

QUINELLA

1,11 149

QUINELLA PLACE

1,3 49.5

1,11 56

3,11 39

FORECAST

1,11 383

TIERCE

1,11,3 1,359

TRIO

1,3,11 168

FIRST 4

1,3,5,11 213

QUARTET

1,11,3,5 6,199

All pools (2 more)

1ST TREBLE

5/6/1 7,594

5/6/11 676

4TH DOUBLE

6/1 268.5

6/11 27