Sha Tin · 2024-10-13 · 05:15
Race 2
Race 2 at Sha Tin on 2024-10-13 was Class 3 over 1200m. SAVVY BRILLIANT, ridden by Z Purton and trained by F C Lor, won by 3/4, with CAPTAIN WIN second and ENTERPRISE ATTACK third. Victory came as the 3.4 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | SAVVY BRILLIANT XB1/TT1 1.08.58 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 2 | 3.4 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 2 | CAPTAIN WIN B C Y Ho · P C Ng | C Y Ho | P C Ng | 4 | 5.2 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 3 | ENTERPRISE ATTACK A Hamelin · K W Lui | A Hamelin | K W Lui | 7 | 23.0 | 2 |
| 4 | 8 | SUPER INFINITY CP L Hewitson · M Newnham | L Hewitson | M Newnham | 5 | 3.4 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 6 | SUPER FORTUNE TT M F Poon · A S Cruz | M F Poon | A S Cruz | 8 | 5.7 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 7 | GALVANIC TT M L Yeung · C Fownes | M L Yeung | C Fownes | 1 | 24.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 4 | POLARIS B/TT P N Wong · K L Man | P N Wong | K L Man | 3 | 14.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 8 | 1 | CANDLELIGHT DINNER B1 K Teetan · Y S Tsui | K Teetan | Y S Tsui | 6 | 9.0 | 8-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | SUPER INFINITY | 42.5% | 2.35 | 4 |
| 2 | 2 | CAPTAIN WIN | 21.1% | 4.74 | 2 |
| 3 | 5 | SAVVY BRILLIANT | 14.8% | 6.76 | 1 |
| 4 | 1 | CANDLELIGHT DINNER | 5.5% | 18.06 | 8 |
| 5 | 6 | SUPER FORTUNE | 5.3% | 18.70 | 5 |
| 6 | 4 | POLARIS | 4.4% | 22.63 | 7 |
| 7 | 3 | ENTERPRISE ATTACK | 3.5% | 28.80 | 3 |
| 8 | 7 | GALVANIC | 2.8% | 35.10 | 6 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
5 34.5
PLACE
2 15.5
3 54
5 17
QUINELLA
2,5 86
QUINELLA PLACE
2,3 128.5
2,5 30.5
3,5 137
FORECAST
5,2 137
TIERCE
5,2,3 2,130
TRIO
2,3,5 526
FIRST 4
2,3,5,8 273
QUARTET
5,2,3,8 5,413
All pools (2 more)
1ST DOUBLE
1/2 19.5
1/5 107
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
1,5,7/2,3,5 21,633