沙田 · 2024-10-13 · 07:15
第 5場
2024-10-13沙田第5場，Class 4，途程1200米。由P N Wong策騎、D A Hayes訓練的AWESOME TREASURE勝出，贏出2-1/4。MASTER OF ALL獲得亞軍；THRIVING BROTHERS獲得季軍。3.3倍大熱門THRIVING BROTHERS跑獲第3名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | AWESOME TREASURE TT 1.08.89 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） P N Wong · D A Hayes | P N Wong | D A Hayes | 10 | 5.7 | 2-1/4 |
| 2 | 11 | MASTER OF ALL B/TT M L Yeung · W Y So | M L Yeung | W Y So | 4 | 4.8 | 2-1/4 |
| 3 | 3 | THRIVING BROTHERS XB Z Purton · D J Whyte | Z Purton | D J Whyte | 7 | 3.3 | 3-1/2 |
| 4 | 5 | ENDEARED XB H Bowman · J Size | H Bowman | J Size | 11 | 9.4 | 3-3/4 |
| 5 | 7 | CLASSIC CENTURY L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | 2 | 9.9 | 4-3/4 |
| 6 | 14 | GANGNAM STAR XB A Badel · P C Ng | A Badel | P C Ng | 5 | 11.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 7 | 2 | CAPITAL LEGEND TT E C W Wong · C Fownes | E C W Wong | C Fownes | 6 | 41.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 8 | 4 | CALIFORNIA DEEPLY CP-/B1/TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 12 | 15.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 9 | 13 | CIRCUIT MAXIMUS XB1/TT M F Poon · C S Shum | M F Poon | C S Shum | 3 | 25.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 10 | 6 | WRITTEN CASA B2/TT A Hamelin · J Richards | A Hamelin | J Richards | 9 | 100.0 | 7 |
| 11 | 12 | RUN RUN COOL PC L Hewitson · F C Lor | L Hewitson | F C Lor | 14 | 90.0 | 7 |
| 12 | 9 | LOVING VIBES H/CP1 C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 8 | 19.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 13 | 8 | DRALA K Teetan · P F Yiu | K Teetan | P F Yiu | 1 | 63.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 14 | 10 | REWARDING TWINKLE TT1 C L Chau · K L Man | C L Chau | K L Man | 13 | 73.0 | 9-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | THRIVING BROTHERS | 18.2% | 5.50 | 3 |
| 2 | 11 | MASTER OF ALL | 15.7% | 6.35 | 2 |
| 3 | 5 | ENDEARED | 10.2% | 9.76 | 4 |
| 4 | 7 | CLASSIC CENTURY | 9.0% | 11.11 | 5 |
| 5 | 4 | CALIFORNIA DEEPLY | 7.7% | 13.03 | 8 |
| 6 | 1 | AWESOME TREASURE | 7.3% | 13.70 | 1 |
| 7 | 14 | GANGNAM STAR | 7.1% | 14.11 | 6 |
| 8 | 9 | LOVING VIBES | 6.8% | 14.70 | 12 |
| 9 | 8 | DRALA | 4.9% | 20.33 | 13 |
| 10 | 2 | CAPITAL LEGEND | 4.3% | 23.08 | 7 |
| 11 | 10 | REWARDING TWINKLE | 2.8% | 35.40 | 14 |
| 12 | 12 | RUN RUN COOL | 2.8% | 36.12 | 11 |
| 13 | 13 | CIRCUIT MAXIMUS | 2.3% | 42.63 | 9 |
| 14 | 6 | WRITTEN CASA | 0.8% | 132.26 | 10 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
1 57.5
PLACE
1 21
3 16
11 16.5
QUINELLA
1,11 149
QUINELLA PLACE
1,3 49.5
1,11 56
3,11 39
FORECAST
1,11 383
TIERCE
1,11,3 1,359
TRIO
1,3,11 168
FIRST 4
1,3,5,11 213
QUARTET
1,11,3,5 6,199
全部彩池（另 2 項）
1ST TREBLE
5/6/1 7,594
5/6/11 676
4TH DOUBLE
6/1 268.5
6/11 27