沙田 · 2024-10-13 · 08:50
第 8場
2024-10-13沙田第8場，Class 4，途程1400米。由H Bowman策騎、D A Hayes訓練的STELLAR SWIFT勝出，贏出N。JUBILANT WINNER獲得亞軍；DRAGON FOUR SEAS獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。頭馬以3.6倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | STELLAR SWIFT 後段發力 CP/TT 1.21.62 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） H Bowman · D A Hayes | H Bowman | D A Hayes | 5 | 3.6 | N |
| 2 | 7 | JUBILANT WINNER 後段發力 CP/TT Z Purton · J Richards | Z Purton | J Richards | 4 | 4.7 | N |
| 3 | 10 | DRAGON FOUR SEAS 早段領放 B K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 13 | 9.7 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 8 | DOUBLE WIN 後段發力 XB/TT L Hewitson · T P Yung | L Hewitson | T P Yung | 1 | 20.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 12 | STRATHPEFFER B M Chadwick · D J Whyte | M Chadwick | D J Whyte | 12 | 16.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 9 | HAPPY DAILY 後段發力 TT C Y Ho · C H Yip | C Y Ho | C H Yip | 8 | 9.2 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 11 | TEAM HAPPY B Y L Chung · P C Ng | Y L Chung | P C Ng | 7 | 7.7 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 3 | I AM THE BOSS CP/XB M L Yeung · K W Lui | M L Yeung | K W Lui | 2 | 106.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 2 | SUNNY DA BEST TT A Atzeni · W Y So | A Atzeni | W Y So | 9 | 6.3 | 5 |
| 10 | 6 | RED ACLAIM 後段發力 TT B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 3 | 72.0 | 6 |
| 11 | 13 | EVER SMART H1/TT H Bentley · F C Lor | H Bentley | F C Lor | 14 | 52.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 12 | 4 | LIGHTNING BOLT TT M F Poon · C S Shum | M F Poon | C S Shum | 10 | 124.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 13 | 5 | CELTIC TIMES B/TT K Teetan · W K Mo | K Teetan | W K Mo | 6 | 27.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 14 | 14 | MR GOOD VIBES B A Badel · D J Hall | A Badel | D J Hall | 11 | 38.0 | 13-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | TEAM HAPPY | 15.3% | 6.55 | 7 |
| 2 | 1 | STELLAR SWIFT | 13.7% | 7.30 | 1 |
| 3 | 7 | JUBILANT WINNER | 12.7% | 7.90 | 2 |
| 4 | 12 | STRATHPEFFER | 11.2% | 8.92 | 5 |
| 5 | 2 | SUNNY DA BEST | 11.2% | 8.95 | 9 |
| 6 | 10 | DRAGON FOUR SEAS | 7.5% | 13.25 | 3 |
| 7 | 9 | HAPPY DAILY | 6.6% | 15.23 | 6 |
| 8 | 14 | MR GOOD VIBES | 4.3% | 23.48 | 14 |
| 9 | 5 | CELTIC TIMES | 4.2% | 23.54 | 13 |
| 10 | 8 | DOUBLE WIN | 3.8% | 26.53 | 4 |
| 11 | 13 | EVER SMART | 3.5% | 28.42 | 11 |
| 12 | 4 | LIGHTNING BOLT | 2.2% | 44.66 | 12 |
| 13 | 6 | RED ACLAIM | 2.2% | 46.02 | 10 |
| 14 | 3 | I AM THE BOSS | 1.7% | 59.68 | 8 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
1 36.5
PLACE
1 16.5
7 20.5
10 29
QUINELLA
1,7 86.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,7 33.5
1,10 66.5
7,10 75.5
FORECAST
1,7 122
TIERCE
1,7,10 553
TRIO
1,7,10 150
FIRST 4
1,7,8,10 1,288
QUARTET
1,7,10,8 12,207
全部彩池（另 2 項）
4TH DOUBLE TRIO
1,4,8/1,7,10 3,168
7TH DOUBLE
4/1 62
4/7 17.5