沙田 · 2024-12-15 · 08:45
第 8場
2024-12-15沙田第8場，Class 3，途程1400米。由L Ferraris策騎、T P Yung訓練的TOURBILLON PRINCE勝出，贏出1-1/4。KAHOLO ANGEL獲得亞軍；HUGE WAVE獲得季軍。頭馬帶放到底。3.5倍大熱門ARMOUR WAR EAGLE跑獲第4名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | TOURBILLON PRINCE 一路領先 TT 1.21.42 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） L Ferraris · T P Yung | L Ferraris | T P Yung | 4 | 33.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 4 | KAHOLO ANGEL 後段發力 TT C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 11 | 18.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 6 | HUGE WAVE 後段發力 TT H Bentley · K H Ting | H Bentley | K H Ting | 2 | 5.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 4 | 10 | ARMOUR WAR EAGLE 後段發力 XB2 L Hewitson · M Newnham | L Hewitson | M Newnham | 7 | 3.5 | 3-1/2 |
| 5 | 9 | LIGHT YEARS CHARM 後段發力 A Atzeni · D Eustace | A Atzeni | D Eustace | 3 | 3.7 | 3-3/4 |
| 6 | 1 | FIND MY LOVE CP-/B1/TT M L Yeung · D J Whyte | M L Yeung | D J Whyte | 5 | 28.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 7 | 7 | AURIO 後段發力 TT A Pouchin · D A Hayes | A Pouchin | D A Hayes | 1 | 34.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 8 | 3 | PRESS LINK 後段發力 B M F Poon · P C Ng | M F Poon | P C Ng | 6 | 79.0 | 6 |
| 9 | 12 | SECOND TO NONE K De Melo · K W Lui | K De Melo | K W Lui | 13 | 41.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 10 | 13 | SOVEREIGN FUND B-/V2 B Thompson · C W Chang | B Thompson | C W Chang | 8 | 51.0 | 7 |
| 11 | 2 | MIGHTY STRIDE CP-/V1 J McDonald · P F Yiu | J McDonald | P F Yiu | 12 | 5.2 | 7-3/4 |
| 12 | 11 | HE WAS ME 後段發力 B/H/TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 14 | 109.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 13 | 8 | FRANCIS MEYNELL H1/TT1 M Chadwick · W K Mo | M Chadwick | W K Mo | 9 | 76.0 | 12-1/2 |
| 14 | 14 | CHAMPION INSTINCT B A Badel · D J Hall | A Badel | D J Hall | 10 | 22.0 | 15-1/2 |
| — | 0 | PACKING POWER Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | HUGE WAVE | 21.3% | 4.69 | 3 |
| 2 | 10 | ARMOUR WAR EAGLE | 15.8% | 6.34 | 4 |
| 3 | 2 | MIGHTY STRIDE | 13.8% | 7.24 | 11 |
| 4 | 9 | LIGHT YEARS CHARM | 13.7% | 7.30 | 5 |
| 5 | 14 | CHAMPION INSTINCT | 5.6% | 17.95 | 14 |
| 6 | 4 | KAHOLO ANGEL | 4.9% | 20.27 | 2 |
| 7 | 8 | FRANCIS MEYNELL | 4.2% | 23.90 | 13 |
| 8 | 1 | FIND MY LOVE | 4.2% | 23.99 | 6 |
| 9 | 5 | TOURBILLON PRINCE | 3.7% | 26.94 | 1 |
| 10 | 12 | SECOND TO NONE | 3.2% | 31.06 | 9 |
| 11 | 13 | SOVEREIGN FUND | 2.9% | 34.83 | 10 |
| 12 | 7 | AURIO | 2.8% | 35.14 | 7 |
| 13 | 3 | PRESS LINK | 2.4% | 42.36 | 8 |
| 14 | 11 | HE WAS ME | 1.5% | 65.83 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
5 337.5
PLACE
4 41.5
5 63
6 17.5
QUINELLA
4,5 2,094.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,5 655
4,6 136.5
5,6 242.5
FORECAST
5,4 3,213
TIERCE
5,4,6 24,093
TRIO
4,5,6 3,435
FIRST 4
4,5,6,10 2,294
QUARTET
5,4,6,10 85,132
全部彩池（另 2 項）
4TH DOUBLE TRIO
3,5,8/4,5,6 591,721
7TH DOUBLE
8/4 162
8/5 2,064.5