沙田 · 2024-12-15 · 06:05
第 3場
2024-12-15沙田第3場，Class 4，途程1200米。由Z Purton策騎、F C Lor訓練的TRIUMPHANT MORE勝出，贏出1/2。NEWBORN MIRACLE獲得亞軍；KING OBERON獲得季軍。頭馬以4.1倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | TRIUMPHANT MORE B 1.10.25 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 8 | 4.1 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 5 | NEWBORN MIRACLE TT C L Chau · P F Yiu | C L Chau | P F Yiu | 1 | 9.8 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 10 | KING OBERON B1 L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 3 | 8.1 | 2 |
| 4 | 2 | ELEGANT LIFE CP H Bowman · T P Yung | H Bowman | T P Yung | 11 | 33.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 6 | ORIENTAL SURPRISE CP- B Thompson · D A Hayes | B Thompson | D A Hayes | 9 | 139.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 7 | HE WAS YOU TT B Avdulla · A S Cruz | B Avdulla | A S Cruz | 4 | 6.5 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 3 | COLOURFUL WINNER CP M L Yeung · W Y So | M L Yeung | W Y So | 12 | 5.4 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 11 | VANTASTIC CHOICE A Pouchin · C H Yip | A Pouchin | C H Yip | 2 | 7.3 | 4 |
| 9 | 8 | TACTICAL COMMAND B A Badel · M Newnham | A Badel | M Newnham | 7 | 7.5 | 4-1/2 |
| 10 | 4 | COSMIC SPURS PC-/B1/TT K Teetan · J Size | K Teetan | J Size | 5 | 19.0 | 5 |
| 10 | 12 | CURRAHEE CP/TT M Chadwick · W K Mo | M Chadwick | W K Mo | 6 | 28.0 | 5 |
| 12 | 9 | SKY SONG TT K De Melo · C Fownes | K De Melo | C Fownes | 10 | 70.0 | 8 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | TRIUMPHANT MORE | 21.2% | 4.71 | 1 |
| 2 | 5 | NEWBORN MIRACLE | 14.8% | 6.77 | 2 |
| 3 | 3 | COLOURFUL WINNER | 12.8% | 7.79 | 7 |
| 4 | 11 | VANTASTIC CHOICE | 9.2% | 10.88 | 8 |
| 5 | 7 | HE WAS YOU | 8.4% | 11.92 | 6 |
| 6 | 8 | TACTICAL COMMAND | 8.2% | 12.24 | 9 |
| 7 | 9 | SKY SONG | 7.6% | 13.11 | 12 |
| 8 | 10 | KING OBERON | 5.7% | 17.66 | 3 |
| 9 | 12 | CURRAHEE | 4.9% | 20.23 | 10 |
| 10 | 2 | ELEGANT LIFE | 3.9% | 25.62 | 4 |
| 11 | 4 | COSMIC SPURS | 2.0% | 50.98 | 10 |
| 12 | 6 | ORIENTAL SURPRISE | 1.3% | 76.90 | 5 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
1 41
PLACE
1 18
5 32.5
10 26.5
QUINELLA
1,5 269
QUINELLA PLACE
1,5 96
1,10 73.5
5,10 128.5
FORECAST
1,5 430
TIERCE
1,5,10 3,177
TRIO
1,5,10 658
FIRST 4
1,2,5,10 3,250
QUARTET
1,5,10,2 42,425
全部彩池（另 1 項）
2ND DOUBLE
11/1 737.5
11/5 117.5