沙田 · 2024-12-29 · 11:53
第 9場
2024-12-29沙田第9場，Class 3，途程1200米。由L Hewitson策騎、M Newnham訓練的FULL CREDIT勝出，贏出HD。MUST GO獲得亞軍；PACKING BOLE獲得季軍。頭馬以2.8倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | FULL CREDIT 1.08.40 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） L Hewitson · M Newnham | L Hewitson | M Newnham | 2 | 2.8 | HD |
| 2 | 11 | MUST GO E/PC/TT A Atzeni · J Size | A Atzeni | J Size | 1 | 4.7 | HD |
| 3 | 5 | PACKING BOLE CP/TT P N Wong · C S Shum | P N Wong | C S Shum | 8 | 3.9 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 6 | RISING FROM ASHES B/TT A Hamelin · C W Chang | A Hamelin | C W Chang | 4 | 65.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 5 | 10 | GIANT LEAP B M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | 10 | 28.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 6 | 2 | GUMMY GUMMY B H Bowman · T P Yung | H Bowman | T P Yung | 12 | 12.0 | 7 |
| 7 | 12 | HAPPY UNITED B-/PC2/TT M L Yeung · J Richards | M L Yeung | J Richards | 3 | 48.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 8 | 4 | SELF IMPROVEMENT B/TT K Teetan · K L Man | K Teetan | K L Man | 5 | 7.3 | 9-3/4 |
| 9 | 1 | WONDER KIT V L Ferraris · K W Lui | L Ferraris | K W Lui | 9 | 16.0 | 12 |
| 10 | 9 | CELESTIAL HARMONY B Thompson · D A Hayes | B Thompson | D A Hayes | 11 | 153.0 | 13-1/2 |
| 11 | 7 | HONG KONG HALL TT A Badel · D J Hall | A Badel | D J Hall | 7 | 58.0 | 14 |
| 12 | 8 | HAPPY FAT CAT CP/TT Y L Chung · W K Mo | Y L Chung | W K Mo | 6 | 42.0 | 16-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | FULL CREDIT | 22.2% | 4.50 | 1 |
| 2 | 5 | PACKING BOLE | 20.1% | 4.98 | 3 |
| 3 | 11 | MUST GO | 15.6% | 6.43 | 2 |
| 4 | 4 | SELF IMPROVEMENT | 10.7% | 9.31 | 8 |
| 5 | 1 | WONDER KIT | 7.9% | 12.62 | 9 |
| 6 | 8 | HAPPY FAT CAT | 6.5% | 15.29 | 12 |
| 7 | 2 | GUMMY GUMMY | 6.1% | 16.29 | 6 |
| 8 | 10 | GIANT LEAP | 3.2% | 30.90 | 5 |
| 9 | 12 | HAPPY UNITED | 2.8% | 35.80 | 7 |
| 10 | 7 | HONG KONG HALL | 2.7% | 37.22 | 11 |
| 11 | 6 | RISING FROM ASHES | 1.7% | 59.91 | 4 |
| 12 | 9 | CELESTIAL HARMONY | 0.4% | 232.16 | 10 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
3 28.5
PLACE
3 13
5 18
11 16.5
QUINELLA
3,11 67.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,5 31.5
3,11 25
5,11 38
FORECAST
3,11 114
TIERCE
3,11,5 428
TRIO
3,5,11 92
FIRST 4
3,5,6,11 932
QUARTET
3,11,5,6 9,291
全部彩池（另 1 項）
8TH DOUBLE
14/3 358.5
14/11 91.5