沙田 · 2024-12-29 · 11:53
第 7場
2024-12-29沙田第7場，Class 4，途程1400米。由L Ferraris策騎、K H Ting訓練的THE ABSOLUTE勝出，贏出1-3/4。STRATHPEFFER獲得亞軍；DRAGON FOUR SEAS獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。2.8倍大熱門DRAGON FOUR SEAS跑獲第3名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | THE ABSOLUTE 後段發力 CP/XB/TT 1.21.81 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） L Ferraris · K H Ting | L Ferraris | K H Ting | 9 | 18.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 2 | 8 | STRATHPEFFER 後段發力 B L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 12 | 8.4 | 1-3/4 |
| 3 | 11 | DRAGON FOUR SEAS B Z Purton · K L Man | Z Purton | K L Man | 4 | 2.8 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 1 | BALLISTIC WIN 後段發力 CP/H E C W Wong · T P Yung | E C W Wong | T P Yung | 5 | 4.3 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 5 | FORERUNNER 後段發力 TT H Bowman · W K Mo | H Bowman | W K Mo | 13 | 6.8 | 3-1/2 |
| 6 | 10 | CARRYON SMILING 後段發力 H-/CP1/TT M L Yeung · W Y So | M L Yeung | W Y So | 14 | 205.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 3 | PANDA 後段發力 A Pouchin · C H Yip | A Pouchin | C H Yip | 6 | 10.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 8 | 12 | STRONGEST BOY 後段發力 B/TT B Thompson · D A Hayes | B Thompson | D A Hayes | 8 | 37.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 9 | 13 | RAGNARR B/H K Teetan · D J Hall | K Teetan | D J Hall | 7 | 20.0 | 6 |
| 10 | 4 | DRAGON SUNRISE K De Melo · K W Lui | K De Melo | K W Lui | 3 | 54.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 11 | 7 | QUICK QUICK WIN P N Wong · P C Ng | P N Wong | P C Ng | 11 | 49.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 12 | 14 | SO TREASURE M Chadwick · M Newnham | M Chadwick | M Newnham | 2 | 28.0 | 11 |
| 13 | 6 | NOT USUAL DRAGON B-/SR-/CP1/TT A Hamelin · J Richards | A Hamelin | J Richards | 1 | 144.0 | 12 |
| 14 | 9 | MY FLYING ANGEL 早段領放 B A Atzeni · F C Lor | A Atzeni | F C Lor | 10 | 17.0 | 12-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | DRAGON FOUR SEAS | 23.5% | 4.26 | 3 |
| 2 | 1 | BALLISTIC WIN | 15.1% | 6.61 | 4 |
| 3 | 5 | FORERUNNER | 11.2% | 8.93 | 5 |
| 4 | 3 | PANDA | 10.6% | 9.40 | 7 |
| 5 | 8 | STRATHPEFFER | 8.9% | 11.18 | 2 |
| 6 | 12 | STRONGEST BOY | 6.2% | 16.07 | 8 |
| 7 | 13 | RAGNARR | 5.4% | 18.66 | 9 |
| 8 | 9 | MY FLYING ANGEL | 4.3% | 23.04 | 14 |
| 9 | 14 | SO TREASURE | 4.0% | 24.73 | 12 |
| 10 | 7 | QUICK QUICK WIN | 3.6% | 28.14 | 11 |
| 11 | 2 | THE ABSOLUTE | 3.5% | 28.23 | 1 |
| 12 | 4 | DRAGON SUNRISE | 2.3% | 44.43 | 10 |
| 13 | 10 | CARRYON SMILING | 0.6% | 154.34 | 6 |
| 14 | 6 | NOT USUAL DRAGON | 0.6% | 158.71 | 13 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
2 184
PLACE
2 49
8 25
11 14.5
QUINELLA
2,8 770
QUINELLA PLACE
2,8 224
2,11 95
8,11 47
FORECAST
2,8 1,765
TIERCE
2,8,11 6,349
TRIO
2,8,11 631
FIRST 4
1,2,8,11 532
QUARTET
2,8,11,1 20,757
全部彩池（另 1 項）
6TH DOUBLE
10/2 4,071
10/8 305.5