沙田 · 2024-12-29 · 11:53
第 5場
2024-12-29沙田第5場，Class 4，途程1200米。由Z Purton策騎、J Size訓練的MASTEROFMYUNIVERSE勝出，贏出2-1/4。BIENVENUE獲得亞軍；GALVANIC獲得季軍。頭馬以3.0倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | MASTEROFMYUNIVERSE H 1.09.13 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 11 | 3.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 2 | 9 | BIENVENUE B1 L Hewitson · D A Hayes | L Hewitson | D A Hayes | 14 | 32.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 3 | 1 | GALVANIC TT H Bowman · C Fownes | H Bowman | C Fownes | 13 | 16.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 4 | 11 | SEA SAPPHIRE TT B Thompson · D Eustace | B Thompson | D Eustace | 10 | 25.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 6 | LUCKY BLESSING P N Wong · P C Ng | P N Wong | P C Ng | 5 | 16.0 | 3 |
| 6 | 12 | FUN N GLORY XB/CP1 K Teetan · D J Hall | K Teetan | D J Hall | 12 | 6.7 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 5 | TOP DRAGON H Bentley · W Y So | H Bentley | W Y So | 6 | 67.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 3 | NEWBORN MIRACLE TT C L Chau · P F Yiu | C L Chau | P F Yiu | 3 | 3.5 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 13 | CAMP FIRE H-/SR/TT Y L Chung · D J Whyte | Y L Chung | D J Whyte | 7 | 104.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 10 | 7 | TRAVEL GOLF B L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | 1 | 12.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 11 | 10 | GOOD PROSPECT XB-/H A Atzeni · T P Yung | A Atzeni | T P Yung | 9 | 14.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 12 | 14 | DAN ATTACK B/TT A Badel · J Richards | A Badel | J Richards | 8 | 25.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 13 | 4 | CALIFORNIA BLITZ TT1 M Chadwick · W K Mo | M Chadwick | W K Mo | 2 | 28.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 14 | 8 | FOXHUNTER KING CP/TT M L Yeung · K W Lui | M L Yeung | K W Lui | 4 | 57.0 | 18-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | MASTEROFMYUNIVERSE | 27.0% | 3.70 | 1 |
| 2 | 3 | NEWBORN MIRACLE | 17.3% | 5.79 | 8 |
| 3 | 12 | FUN N GLORY | 9.2% | 10.83 | 6 |
| 4 | 7 | TRAVEL GOLF | 8.1% | 12.30 | 10 |
| 5 | 1 | GALVANIC | 7.6% | 13.20 | 3 |
| 6 | 14 | DAN ATTACK | 5.3% | 18.98 | 12 |
| 7 | 4 | CALIFORNIA BLITZ | 5.1% | 19.63 | 13 |
| 8 | 5 | TOP DRAGON | 4.1% | 24.18 | 7 |
| 9 | 10 | GOOD PROSPECT | 3.9% | 25.56 | 11 |
| 10 | 6 | LUCKY BLESSING | 3.1% | 32.42 | 5 |
| 11 | 9 | BIENVENUE | 2.6% | 38.26 | 2 |
| 12 | 11 | SEA SAPPHIRE | 2.6% | 38.59 | 4 |
| 13 | 13 | CAMP FIRE | 2.1% | 47.35 | 9 |
| 14 | 8 | FOXHUNTER KING | 2.0% | 50.81 | 14 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
2 30.5
PLACE
1 54
2 15
9 72
QUINELLA
2,9 456.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 131.5
1,9 670.5
2,9 155.5
FORECAST
2,9 743
TIERCE
2,9,1 10,612
TRIO
1,2,9 3,134
FIRST 4
1,2,9,11 11,801
QUARTET
2,9,1,11 203,922
全部彩池（另 2 項）
1ST TREBLE
9/2/2 183
9/2/9 346
4TH DOUBLE
2/2 85.5
2/9 186