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Sha Tin · 2024-12-29 · 11:53

Race 5

Class 4 1200m Course B+2 14 runners

Race 5 at Sha Tin on 2024-12-29 was Class 4 over 1200m. MASTEROFMYUNIVERSE, ridden by Z Purton and trained by J Size, won by 2-1/4, with BIENVENUE second and GALVANIC third. Victory came as the 3.0 favourite.

Result

Official · 1.09.13
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 2 MASTEROFMYUNIVERSE H 1.09.13 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · J Size 11 3.0 2-1/4
2 9 BIENVENUE B1 L Hewitson · D A Hayes 14 32.0 2-1/4
3 1 GALVANIC TT H Bowman · C Fownes 13 16.0 2-3/4
4 11 SEA SAPPHIRE TT B Thompson · D Eustace 10 25.0 2-3/4
5 6 LUCKY BLESSING P N Wong · P C Ng 5 16.0 3
6 12 FUN N GLORY XB/CP1 K Teetan · D J Hall 12 6.7 3-1/2
7 5 TOP DRAGON H Bentley · W Y So 6 67.0 3-3/4
8 3 NEWBORN MIRACLE TT C L Chau · P F Yiu 3 3.5 4-3/4
9 13 CAMP FIRE H-/SR/TT Y L Chung · D J Whyte 7 104.0 4-3/4
10 7 TRAVEL GOLF B L Ferraris · M Newnham 1 12.0 6-1/4
11 10 GOOD PROSPECT XB-/H A Atzeni · T P Yung 9 14.0 6-1/4
12 14 DAN ATTACK B/TT A Badel · J Richards 8 25.0 6-1/2
13 4 CALIFORNIA BLITZ TT1 M Chadwick · W K Mo 2 28.0 7-1/2
14 8 FOXHUNTER KING CP/TT M L Yeung · K W Lui 4 57.0 18-1/4

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. MASTEROFMYUNIVERSE2. BIENVENUE+2.25L3. GALVANIC+2.75L4. SEA SAPPHIRE+2.75L5. LUCKY BLESSING+3L6. FUN N GLORY+3.5L7. TOP DRAGON+3.75L8. NEWBORN MIRACLE+4.75L9. CAMP FIRE+4.75L10. TRAVEL GOLF+6.25L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2024-25
The model's top pick MASTEROFMYUNIVERSE (27.0%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 2 MASTEROFMYUNIVERSE 27.0% 3.70 1
2 3 NEWBORN MIRACLE 17.3% 5.79 8
3 12 FUN N GLORY 9.2% 10.83 6
4 7 TRAVEL GOLF 8.1% 12.30 10
5 1 GALVANIC 7.6% 13.20 3
6 14 DAN ATTACK 5.3% 18.98 12
7 4 CALIFORNIA BLITZ 5.1% 19.63 13
8 5 TOP DRAGON 4.1% 24.18 7
9 10 GOOD PROSPECT 3.9% 25.56 11
10 6 LUCKY BLESSING 3.1% 32.42 5
11 9 BIENVENUE 2.6% 38.26 2
12 11 SEA SAPPHIRE 2.6% 38.59 4
13 13 CAMP FIRE 2.1% 47.35 9
14 8 FOXHUNTER KING 2.0% 50.81 14
MASTEROFMYUNIVERSE — wonNEWBORN MIRACLEFUN N GLORYTRAVEL GOLFGALVANICDAN ATTACKCALIFORNIA BLITZTOP DRAGONGOOD PROSPECTLUCKY BLESSINGBIENVENUESEA SAPPHIRECAMP FIREFOXHUNTER KING

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

2 30.5

PLACE

1 54

2 15

9 72

QUINELLA

2,9 456.5

QUINELLA PLACE

1,2 131.5

1,9 670.5

2,9 155.5

FORECAST

2,9 743

TIERCE

2,9,1 10,612

TRIO

1,2,9 3,134

FIRST 4

1,2,9,11 11,801

QUARTET

2,9,1,11 203,922

All pools (2 more)

1ST TREBLE

9/2/2 183

9/2/9 346

4TH DOUBLE

2/2 85.5

2/9 186