Sha Tin · 2024-12-29 · 11:53
Race 6
Race 6 at Sha Tin on 2024-12-29 was Class 4 over 1200m. JOLLY COMPANION, ridden by P N Wong and trained by K L Man, won by 1-1/2, with MR ENERGIA second and OFFROAD MASTER third. The 2.6 favourite MR ENERGIA finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | JOLLY COMPANION CP/TT 1.09.04 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) P N Wong · K L Man | P N Wong | K L Man | 1 | 18.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 2 | 6 | MR ENERGIA B Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 10 | 2.6 | 1-1/2 |
| 3 | 1 | OFFROAD MASTER B M Chadwick · W K Mo | M Chadwick | W K Mo | 5 | 7.4 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 8 | FORTUNE WARRIOR H/P/XB/TT A Badel · D Eustace | A Badel | D Eustace | 6 | 4.2 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 9 | CALIFORNIA STAR B/TT B Thompson · A S Cruz | B Thompson | A S Cruz | 8 | 111.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 6 | 3 | SHANGHAI STYLE B/TT H Bowman · C S Shum | H Bowman | C S Shum | 4 | 8.7 | 5-3/4 |
| 7 | 7 | CHILL KAKA PC A Pouchin · P F Yiu | A Pouchin | P F Yiu | 12 | 16.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 8 | 4 | SUNNY DARLING B/TT L Ferraris · P C Ng | L Ferraris | P C Ng | 2 | 13.0 | 9-3/4 |
| 9 | 5 | NEBRASKAN PC B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 9 | 12.0 | 9-3/4 |
| 10 | 12 | CONCORDE STAR B/TT Y L Chung · Y S Tsui | Y L Chung | Y S Tsui | 3 | 69.0 | 10 |
| 11 | 2 | SOVEREIGN FUND V C L Chau · C W Chang | C L Chau | C W Chang | 11 | 27.0 | 11-1/2 |
| 12 | 11 | UNISON B-/XB-/PC1/TT A Hamelin · J Richards | A Hamelin | J Richards | 7 | 73.0 | 15-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | OFFROAD MASTER | 26.9% | 3.72 | 3 |
| 2 | 6 | MR ENERGIA | 16.9% | 5.91 | 2 |
| 3 | 5 | NEBRASKAN | 11.3% | 8.82 | 9 |
| 4 | 3 | SHANGHAI STYLE | 10.4% | 9.60 | 6 |
| 5 | 4 | SUNNY DARLING | 8.7% | 11.50 | 8 |
| 6 | 7 | CHILL KAKA | 7.1% | 14.06 | 7 |
| 7 | 10 | JOLLY COMPANION | 7.1% | 14.12 | 1 |
| 8 | 8 | FORTUNE WARRIOR | 6.0% | 16.74 | 4 |
| 9 | 2 | SOVEREIGN FUND | 2.4% | 42.11 | 11 |
| 10 | 11 | UNISON | 1.2% | 86.86 | 12 |
| 11 | 12 | CONCORDE STAR | 1.1% | 90.17 | 10 |
| 12 | 9 | CALIFORNIA STAR | 1.0% | 104.97 | 5 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
10 183.5
PLACE
1 23.5
6 14
10 45
QUINELLA
6,10 276
QUINELLA PLACE
1,6 37.5
1,10 167
6,10 89
FORECAST
10,6 803
TIERCE
10,6,1 4,386
TRIO
1,6,10 468
FIRST 4
1,6,8,10 505
QUARTET
10,6,1,8 18,701
All pools (3 more)
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
1,2,9/1,6,10 165,999
5TH DOUBLE
2/6 19.5
2/10 816
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
2,5,6/1,2,9/Any Combination 97,713