Sha Tin · 2024-12-29 · 17:48
Race 10
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | TOURBILLON PRINCE Closed strongly TT 1.22.20 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · T P Yung | Z Purton | T P Yung | 13 | 20.0 | HD |
| 2 | 11 | STORM RIDER B Thompson · D A Hayes | B Thompson | D A Hayes | 3 | 17.0 | HD |
| 3 | 7 | MARKWIN Closed strongly TT M Chadwick · W K Mo | M Chadwick | W K Mo | 6 | 1.9 | HD |
| 4 | 2 | CHARMING LEGEND Led early H Bowman · C S Shum | H Bowman | C S Shum | 7 | 5.0 | N |
| 5 | 13 | WINNING WING Closed strongly TT1 H T Mo · K W Lui | H T Mo | K W Lui | 4 | 60.0 | 3/4 |
| 6 | 3 | BEAUTY CRESCENT TT B Avdulla · A S Cruz | B Avdulla | A S Cruz | 5 | 6.8 | 1 |
| 7 | 4 | LO RIDER M L Yeung · C Fownes | M L Yeung | C Fownes | 2 | 27.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 8 | 9 | SOLID IMPACT Closed strongly CP A Badel · D J Hall | A Badel | D J Hall | 8 | 66.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 9 | 5 | TAMRA BLITZ H/SR A Pouchin · D J Whyte | A Pouchin | D J Whyte | 11 | 23.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 10 | 14 | LESLIE PC-/B2 P N Wong · C W Chang | P N Wong | C W Chang | 9 | 41.0 | 3 |
| 11 | 8 | ILLUMINOUS Closed strongly V-/B2 K Teetan · F C Lor | K Teetan | F C Lor | 12 | 22.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 12 | 10 | BEAUTY VIVA L Hewitson · P C Ng | L Hewitson | P C Ng | 10 | 44.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 13 | 6 | WINNING GOLD Closed strongly CP-/H-/TT K De Melo · W Y So | K De Melo | W Y So | 14 | 55.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 14 | 12 | EXCELLENCE VALUE L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | 1 | 61.0 | 8-1/2 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 10 at Sha Tin on 2024-12-29 was Class 3 over 1400m. TOURBILLON PRINCE, ridden by Z Purton and trained by T P Yung, won by HD, with STORM RIDER second and MARKWIN third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 1.9 favourite MARKWIN finished 3rd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | MARKWIN | 33.0% | 3.03 | 3 |
| 2 | 2 | CHARMING LEGEND | 16.5% | 6.06 | 4 |
| 3 | 3 | BEAUTY CRESCENT | 16.4% | 6.10 | 6 |
| 4 | 1 | TOURBILLON PRINCE | 7.2% | 13.98 | 1 |
| 5 | 12 | EXCELLENCE VALUE | 4.2% | 23.88 | 14 |
| 6 | 8 | ILLUMINOUS | 3.9% | 25.92 | 11 |
| 7 | 5 | TAMRA BLITZ | 3.2% | 31.51 | 9 |
| 8 | 14 | LESLIE | 3.1% | 31.86 | 10 |
| 9 | 9 | SOLID IMPACT | 2.6% | 37.82 | 8 |
| 10 | 6 | WINNING GOLD | 2.6% | 38.70 | 13 |
| 11 | 4 | LO RIDER | 2.1% | 47.91 | 7 |
| 12 | 13 | WINNING WING | 2.0% | 51.04 | 5 |
| 13 | 11 | STORM RIDER | 1.8% | 54.35 | 2 |
| 14 | 10 | BEAUTY VIVA | 1.5% | 65.62 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 208
PLACE
1 51.5
7 10.5
11 33
QUINELLA
1,11 1,361
QUINELLA PLACE
1,7 78
1,11 318
7,11 60.5
FORECAST
1,11 2,326
TIERCE
1,11,7 9,162
TRIO
1,7,11 882
FIRST 4
1,2,7,11 783
QUARTET
1,11,7,2 36,554
All pools (4 more)
2ND TREBLE
14/3/1 7,166
14/3/11 1,892
5TH DOUBLE TRIO
3,5,11/1,7,11 16,360
9TH DOUBLE
3/1 581
3/11 121
SIX UP
2,9/6,10/2,8/6,14/3,11/1,11 46,180
1 [Z Purton] —
1 [J Size] —