Sha Tin · 2024-12-29 · 16:06
Race 7
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | THE ABSOLUTE Closed strongly CP/XB/TT 1.21.81 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) L Ferraris · K H Ting | L Ferraris | K H Ting | 9 | 18.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 2 | 8 | STRATHPEFFER Closed strongly B L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 12 | 8.4 | 1-3/4 |
| 3 | 11 | DRAGON FOUR SEAS B Z Purton · K L Man | Z Purton | K L Man | 4 | 2.8 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 1 | BALLISTIC WIN Closed strongly CP/H E C W Wong · T P Yung | E C W Wong | T P Yung | 5 | 4.3 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 5 | FORERUNNER Closed strongly TT H Bowman · W K Mo | H Bowman | W K Mo | 13 | 6.8 | 3-1/2 |
| 6 | 10 | CARRYON SMILING Closed strongly H-/CP1/TT M L Yeung · W Y So | M L Yeung | W Y So | 14 | 205.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 3 | PANDA Closed strongly A Pouchin · C H Yip | A Pouchin | C H Yip | 6 | 10.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 8 | 12 | STRONGEST BOY Closed strongly B/TT B Thompson · D A Hayes | B Thompson | D A Hayes | 8 | 37.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 9 | 13 | RAGNARR B/H K Teetan · D J Hall | K Teetan | D J Hall | 7 | 20.0 | 6 |
| 10 | 4 | DRAGON SUNRISE K De Melo · K W Lui | K De Melo | K W Lui | 3 | 54.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 11 | 7 | QUICK QUICK WIN P N Wong · P C Ng | P N Wong | P C Ng | 11 | 49.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 12 | 14 | SO TREASURE M Chadwick · M Newnham | M Chadwick | M Newnham | 2 | 28.0 | 11 |
| 13 | 6 | NOT USUAL DRAGON B-/SR-/CP1/TT A Hamelin · J Richards | A Hamelin | J Richards | 1 | 144.0 | 12 |
| 14 | 9 | MY FLYING ANGEL Led early B A Atzeni · F C Lor | A Atzeni | F C Lor | 10 | 17.0 | 12-3/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 7 at Sha Tin on 2024-12-29 was Class 4 over 1400m. THE ABSOLUTE, ridden by L Ferraris and trained by K H Ting, won by 1-3/4, with STRATHPEFFER second and DRAGON FOUR SEAS third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.8 favourite DRAGON FOUR SEAS finished 3rd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | DRAGON FOUR SEAS | 23.5% | 4.26 | 3 |
| 2 | 1 | BALLISTIC WIN | 15.1% | 6.61 | 4 |
| 3 | 5 | FORERUNNER | 11.2% | 8.93 | 5 |
| 4 | 3 | PANDA | 10.6% | 9.40 | 7 |
| 5 | 8 | STRATHPEFFER | 8.9% | 11.18 | 2 |
| 6 | 12 | STRONGEST BOY | 6.2% | 16.07 | 8 |
| 7 | 13 | RAGNARR | 5.4% | 18.66 | 9 |
| 8 | 9 | MY FLYING ANGEL | 4.3% | 23.04 | 14 |
| 9 | 14 | SO TREASURE | 4.0% | 24.73 | 12 |
| 10 | 7 | QUICK QUICK WIN | 3.6% | 28.14 | 11 |
| 11 | 2 | THE ABSOLUTE | 3.5% | 28.23 | 1 |
| 12 | 4 | DRAGON SUNRISE | 2.3% | 44.43 | 10 |
| 13 | 10 | CARRYON SMILING | 0.6% | 154.34 | 6 |
| 14 | 6 | NOT USUAL DRAGON | 0.6% | 158.71 | 13 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
2 184
PLACE
2 49
8 25
11 14.5
QUINELLA
2,8 770
QUINELLA PLACE
2,8 224
2,11 95
8,11 47
FORECAST
2,8 1,765
TIERCE
2,8,11 6,349
TRIO
2,8,11 631
FIRST 4
1,2,8,11 532
QUARTET
2,8,11,1 20,757
All pools (1 more)
6TH DOUBLE
10/2 4,071
10/8 305.5