沙田 · 2024-12-29 · 11:53
第 8場
2024-12-29沙田第8場，Class 3，途程1000米。由M F Poon策騎、A S Cruz訓練的SUPER FORTUNE勝出，贏出2。HEROIC MASTER獲得亞軍；AURIO獲得季軍。3.4倍大熱門CHEVAL VALIANT跑獲第7名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | SUPER FORTUNE TT 0.56.60 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） M F Poon · A S Cruz | M F Poon | A S Cruz | 8 | 9.8 | 2 |
| 2 | 6 | HEROIC MASTER B/TT Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 7 | 4.7 | 2 |
| 3 | 5 | AURIO TT B Thompson · D A Hayes | B Thompson | D A Hayes | 4 | 92.0 | 2 |
| 4 | 1 | HEALTHY HEALTHY B/TT H Bowman · P C Ng | H Bowman | P C Ng | 10 | 5.2 | 3 |
| 5 | 2 | CARROLL STREET CP/SR/TT L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 14 | 12.0 | 3 |
| 6 | 13 | POSITIVE SMILE M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 5 | 32.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 11 | CHEVAL VALIANT B/TT P N Wong · D J Whyte | P N Wong | D J Whyte | 11 | 3.4 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 12 | GRAND NOVA E K Teetan · J Size | K Teetan | J Size | 1 | 12.0 | 4 |
| 9 | 10 | PARTERRE B K De Melo · W Y So | K De Melo | W Y So | 6 | 115.0 | 4 |
| 10 | 8 | O'LINER TT A Hamelin · J Richards | A Hamelin | J Richards | 13 | 6.9 | 5-3/4 |
| 11 | 4 | TURF PHOENIX B C L Chau · W Y So | C L Chau | W Y So | 12 | 176.0 | 6 |
| 12 | 9 | SKY CAP TT1 A Pouchin · C Fownes | A Pouchin | C Fownes | 2 | 58.0 | 8 |
| 13 | 3 | PLEASANT ENDEAVOR B E C W Wong · P F Yiu | E C W Wong | P F Yiu | 3 | 43.0 | 10 |
| 14 | 7 | MAGIC HALLOW XB/TT M Chadwick · K L Man | M Chadwick | K L Man | 9 | 120.0 | 11 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | GRAND NOVA | 23.7% | 4.22 | 8 |
| 2 | 6 | HEROIC MASTER | 16.1% | 6.22 | 2 |
| 3 | 11 | CHEVAL VALIANT | 14.2% | 7.02 | 7 |
| 4 | 1 | HEALTHY HEALTHY | 12.5% | 8.00 | 4 |
| 5 | 14 | SUPER FORTUNE | 9.0% | 11.13 | 1 |
| 6 | 8 | O'LINER | 6.1% | 16.41 | 10 |
| 7 | 2 | CARROLL STREET | 4.5% | 22.00 | 5 |
| 8 | 3 | PLEASANT ENDEAVOR | 3.3% | 30.26 | 13 |
| 9 | 9 | SKY CAP | 2.5% | 40.78 | 12 |
| 10 | 10 | PARTERRE | 2.3% | 43.52 | 9 |
| 11 | 13 | POSITIVE SMILE | 2.1% | 46.58 | 6 |
| 12 | 5 | AURIO | 1.7% | 57.70 | 3 |
| 13 | 7 | MAGIC HALLOW | 1.2% | 81.24 | 14 |
| 14 | 4 | TURF PHOENIX | 0.7% | 141.94 | 11 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
14 98.5
PLACE
5 155
6 17.5
14 27
QUINELLA
6,14 199
QUINELLA PLACE
5,6 453.5
5,14 725.5
6,14 66
FORECAST
14,6 481
TIERCE
14,6,5 15,279
TRIO
5,6,14 4,136
FIRST 4
1,5,6,14 2,887
QUARTET
14,6,5,1 88,976
全部彩池（另 2 項）
4TH DOUBLE TRIO
2,8,11/5,6,14 483,767
7TH DOUBLE
2/6 273.5
2/14 2,764.5