沙田 · 2025-01-31 · 05:05
第 2場
2025-01-31沙田第2場，Class 4，途程1200米。由L Ferraris策騎、D Eustace訓練的MASTER PHOENIX勝出，贏出1/2。RUN RAN RUN獲得亞軍；BLAZING BEAM獲得季軍。頭馬以2.3倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | MASTER PHOENIX B/TT 1.09.91 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） L Ferraris · D Eustace | L Ferraris | D Eustace | 2 | 2.3 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 9 | RUN RAN RUN B/TT M Chadwick · W K Mo | M Chadwick | W K Mo | 3 | 9.7 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 2 | BLAZING BEAM SR1 K Teetan · K H Ting | K Teetan | K H Ting | 10 | 109.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 8 | CLUB ACE TT1 H Bowman · J Size | H Bowman | J Size | 7 | 6.4 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 4 | JOYFUL TREASURE XB L Hewitson · K W Lui | L Hewitson | K W Lui | 1 | 9.9 | 1-1/2 |
| 6 | 1 | PANDA TT C Soumillon · C H Yip | C Soumillon | C H Yip | 14 | 11.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 7 | 12 | ISLAND BREEZES B/TT1 M Barzalona · P C Ng | M Barzalona | P C Ng | 11 | 16.0 | 2 |
| 8 | 11 | ALWAYS MY FOLKS H B Thompson · C W Chang | B Thompson | C W Chang | 13 | 27.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 9 | 3 | HAPPY SHOOTER XB-/B1/TT H Bentley · C S Shum | H Bentley | C S Shum | 9 | 53.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 10 | 14 | SHINKANSEN CP/H/TT A Atzeni · D J Whyte | A Atzeni | D J Whyte | 12 | 43.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 11 | 10 | NIGHT PUROSANGUE B Shinn · D A Hayes | B Shinn | D A Hayes | 5 | 60.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 12 | 7 | YOUNG STRIKER TT1 K De Melo · W Y So | K De Melo | W Y So | 4 | 43.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 13 | 6 | SAVVY TWINKLE TT K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 6 | 8.2 | 6-1/4 |
| 14 | 13 | HAPPY TANGO B P N Wong · Y S Tsui | P N Wong | Y S Tsui | 8 | 28.0 | 11 |
| — | 0 | MULTISUPER · T P Yung | — | T P Yung | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | MASTER PHOENIX | 17.9% | 5.58 | 1 |
| 2 | 8 | CLUB ACE | 14.0% | 7.16 | 4 |
| 3 | 1 | PANDA | 9.7% | 10.36 | 6 |
| 4 | 6 | SAVVY TWINKLE | 9.4% | 10.66 | 13 |
| 5 | 12 | ISLAND BREEZES | 7.9% | 12.63 | 7 |
| 6 | 2 | BLAZING BEAM | 6.9% | 14.47 | 3 |
| 7 | 4 | JOYFUL TREASURE | 6.6% | 15.20 | 5 |
| 8 | 14 | SHINKANSEN | 6.0% | 16.66 | 10 |
| 9 | 13 | HAPPY TANGO | 4.6% | 21.65 | 14 |
| 10 | 9 | RUN RAN RUN | 4.4% | 22.69 | 2 |
| 11 | 11 | ALWAYS MY FOLKS | 4.0% | 25.19 | 8 |
| 12 | 7 | YOUNG STRIKER | 4.0% | 25.21 | 12 |
| 13 | 3 | HAPPY SHOOTER | 3.1% | 32.61 | 9 |
| 14 | 10 | NIGHT PUROSANGUE | 1.6% | 61.32 | 11 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
5 23.5
PLACE
2 247
5 13.5
9 26
QUINELLA
5,9 101.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,5 468.5
2,9 992.5
5,9 41.5
FORECAST
5,9 153
TIERCE
5,9,2 9,185
TRIO
2,5,9 3,050
FIRST 4
2,5,8,9 4,658
QUARTET
5,9,2,8 88,293
全部彩池（另 1 項）
1ST DOUBLE
10/5 248.5
10/9 142