沙田 · 2025-01-31 · 10:00
第 11場
2025-01-31沙田第11場，Class 3，途程1400米。由Z Purton策騎、K W Lui訓練的PACKING ANGEL勝出，贏出1-3/4。ANOTHER WORLD獲得亞軍；ARMOUR WAR EAGLE獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。頭馬以3.2倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | PACKING ANGEL 後段發力 TT 1.21.33 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · K W Lui | Z Purton | K W Lui | 10 | 3.2 | 1-3/4 |
| 2 | 9 | ANOTHER WORLD 後段發力 CP L Hewitson · T P Yung | L Hewitson | T P Yung | 4 | 4.9 | 1-3/4 |
| 3 | 13 | ARMOUR WAR EAGLE 後段發力 XB M F Poon · M Newnham | M F Poon | M Newnham | 6 | 10.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 11 | SOLID WIN 後段發力 TT M Barzalona · P F Yiu | M Barzalona | P F Yiu | 5 | 6.1 | 3-1/2 |
| 5 | 4 | TAMRA BLITZ 後段發力 H/SR H Bowman · D J Whyte | H Bowman | D J Whyte | 3 | 14.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 6 | 6 | BUCEPHALAS 早段領放 H/TT M Chadwick · W K Mo | M Chadwick | W K Mo | 12 | 125.0 | 5 |
| 7 | 10 | DEVAS TWELVE CP/TT C Y Ho · W Y So | C Y Ho | W Y So | 11 | 31.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 8 | 7 | ENDEARED 後段發力 XB A Atzeni · J Size | A Atzeni | J Size | 2 | 5.7 | 5-3/4 |
| 9 | 5 | KING OF FIGHTERS TT B Avdulla · A S Cruz | B Avdulla | A S Cruz | 14 | 38.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 10 | 8 | SOLID CAR K Teetan · D J Hall | K Teetan | D J Hall | 1 | 70.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 11 | 12 | THE ABSOLUTE 後段發力 CP/XB/TT H Bentley · K H Ting | H Bentley | K H Ting | 8 | 15.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 12 | 1 | SEASONS WIT 後段發力 B/TT C Soumillon · J Richards | C Soumillon | J Richards | 7 | 62.0 | 7 |
| 13 | 2 | KAHOLO ANGEL TT E C W Wong · C Fownes | E C W Wong | C Fownes | 13 | 25.0 | 10-3/4 |
| 14 | 14 | LUCKY COMBINATION B/TT1 A Badel · F C Lor | A Badel | F C Lor | 9 | 186.0 | 11-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | PACKING ANGEL | 30.0% | 3.34 | 1 |
| 2 | 9 | ANOTHER WORLD | 19.2% | 5.21 | 2 |
| 3 | 7 | ENDEARED | 13.2% | 7.60 | 8 |
| 4 | 11 | SOLID WIN | 11.5% | 8.69 | 4 |
| 5 | 13 | ARMOUR WAR EAGLE | 4.5% | 22.23 | 3 |
| 6 | 4 | TAMRA BLITZ | 3.6% | 27.42 | 5 |
| 7 | 10 | DEVAS TWELVE | 3.6% | 27.86 | 7 |
| 8 | 5 | KING OF FIGHTERS | 3.0% | 32.98 | 9 |
| 9 | 2 | KAHOLO ANGEL | 2.4% | 41.41 | 13 |
| 10 | 8 | SOLID CAR | 2.4% | 42.40 | 10 |
| 11 | 1 | SEASONS WIT | 2.3% | 43.77 | 12 |
| 12 | 12 | THE ABSOLUTE | 2.2% | 46.36 | 11 |
| 13 | 6 | BUCEPHALAS | 1.5% | 65.32 | 6 |
| 14 | 14 | LUCKY COMBINATION | 0.7% | 147.59 | 14 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
3 32.5
PLACE
3 15.5
9 18
13 32
QUINELLA
3,9 81.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,9 33.5
3,13 83.5
9,13 127
FORECAST
3,9 136
TIERCE
3,9,13 984
TRIO
3,9,13 314
FIRST 4
3,9,11,13 490
QUARTET
3,9,13,11 5,680
全部彩池（另 4 項）
10TH DOUBLE
2/3 1,331.5
2/9 311.5
2ND TREBLE
11/2/3 25,924
11/2/9 7,629
5TH DOUBLE TRIO
2,8,11/3,9,13 34,865
SIX UP
3,7/3,7/3,11/5,11/2,11/3,9 18,478
3/7/11/11/2/3 7,411,714
2 [H Bowman] —
2 [K W Lui] —