沙田 · 2025-01-31 · 09:25
第 10場
2025-01-31沙田第10場，Class 3，途程1200米。由L Ferraris策騎、M Newnham訓練的MID WINTER WIND勝出，贏出N。SUNNY DA BEST獲得亞軍；LO PAN SPIRIT獲得季軍。2.5倍大熱門SUNNY DA BEST跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | MID WINTER WIND 1.09.23 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | 7 | 42.0 | N |
| 2 | 11 | SUNNY DA BEST TT Z Purton · W Y So | Z Purton | W Y So | 6 | 2.5 | N |
| 3 | 8 | LO PAN SPIRIT B/TT1 K C Leung · K H Ting | K C Leung | K H Ting | 11 | 6.6 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 5 | LUCKY EIGHT M Barzalona · P F Yiu | M Barzalona | P F Yiu | 13 | 9.6 | 2 |
| 5 | 13 | BEAUTY LIGHT A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 10 | 20.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 1 | PACKING POWER TT H Bowman · C S Shum | H Bowman | C S Shum | 9 | 18.0 | 3 |
| 7 | 14 | OFFROAD MASTER B M Chadwick · W K Mo | M Chadwick | W K Mo | 5 | 16.0 | 3 |
| 8 | 7 | ANOTHER ZONDA B L Hewitson · Y S Tsui | L Hewitson | Y S Tsui | 8 | 150.0 | 3 |
| 9 | 4 | KING MILES C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 12 | 11.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 10 | 3 | YOUNG SUPERSTAR TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 1 | 5.7 | 4-1/2 |
| 11 | 9 | RIDING TOGETHER XB/TT A Atzeni · D Eustace | A Atzeni | D Eustace | 4 | 40.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 12 | 6 | I P O BROS M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 3 | 138.0 | 6 |
| 13 | 10 | RUN RUN SMART TT H Bentley · F C Lor | H Bentley | F C Lor | 2 | 17.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 14 | 12 | AURORA PATCH B-/V1 K Teetan · P C Ng | K Teetan | P C Ng | 14 | 40.0 | 6-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | YOUNG SUPERSTAR | 28.6% | 3.49 | 10 |
| 2 | 11 | SUNNY DA BEST | 18.1% | 5.52 | 2 |
| 3 | 8 | LO PAN SPIRIT | 9.9% | 10.11 | 3 |
| 4 | 14 | OFFROAD MASTER | 5.2% | 19.35 | 7 |
| 5 | 1 | PACKING POWER | 5.1% | 19.75 | 6 |
| 6 | 10 | RUN RUN SMART | 5.1% | 19.77 | 13 |
| 7 | 13 | BEAUTY LIGHT | 4.8% | 20.94 | 5 |
| 8 | 9 | RIDING TOGETHER | 4.7% | 21.18 | 11 |
| 9 | 12 | AURORA PATCH | 4.6% | 21.69 | 14 |
| 10 | 4 | KING MILES | 4.6% | 21.81 | 9 |
| 11 | 5 | LUCKY EIGHT | 4.2% | 23.84 | 4 |
| 12 | 2 | MID WINTER WIND | 2.9% | 33.94 | 1 |
| 13 | 7 | ANOTHER ZONDA | 1.6% | 63.33 | 8 |
| 14 | 6 | I P O BROS | 0.7% | 147.92 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
2 422.5
PLACE
2 103
8 24
11 14
QUINELLA
2,11 875
QUINELLA PLACE
2,8 388
2,11 302.5
8,11 44
FORECAST
2,11 1,877
TIERCE
2,11,8 15,598
TRIO
2,8,11 1,597
FIRST 4
2,5,8,11 2,859
QUARTET
2,11,8,5 141,733
全部彩池（另 1 項）
9TH DOUBLE
11/2 4,693.5
11/11 159.5