Sha Tin · 2025-01-31 · 09:25
Race 10
Race 10 at Sha Tin on 2025-01-31 was Class 3 over 1200m. MID WINTER WIND, ridden by L Ferraris and trained by M Newnham, won by N, with SUNNY DA BEST second and LO PAN SPIRIT third. The 2.5 favourite SUNNY DA BEST finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | MID WINTER WIND 1.09.23 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | 7 | 42.0 | N |
| 2 | 11 | SUNNY DA BEST TT Z Purton · W Y So | Z Purton | W Y So | 6 | 2.5 | N |
| 3 | 8 | LO PAN SPIRIT B/TT1 K C Leung · K H Ting | K C Leung | K H Ting | 11 | 6.6 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 5 | LUCKY EIGHT M Barzalona · P F Yiu | M Barzalona | P F Yiu | 13 | 9.6 | 2 |
| 5 | 13 | BEAUTY LIGHT A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 10 | 20.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 1 | PACKING POWER TT H Bowman · C S Shum | H Bowman | C S Shum | 9 | 18.0 | 3 |
| 7 | 14 | OFFROAD MASTER B M Chadwick · W K Mo | M Chadwick | W K Mo | 5 | 16.0 | 3 |
| 8 | 7 | ANOTHER ZONDA B L Hewitson · Y S Tsui | L Hewitson | Y S Tsui | 8 | 150.0 | 3 |
| 9 | 4 | KING MILES C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 12 | 11.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 10 | 3 | YOUNG SUPERSTAR TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 1 | 5.7 | 4-1/2 |
| 11 | 9 | RIDING TOGETHER XB/TT A Atzeni · D Eustace | A Atzeni | D Eustace | 4 | 40.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 12 | 6 | I P O BROS M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 3 | 138.0 | 6 |
| 13 | 10 | RUN RUN SMART TT H Bentley · F C Lor | H Bentley | F C Lor | 2 | 17.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 14 | 12 | AURORA PATCH B-/V1 K Teetan · P C Ng | K Teetan | P C Ng | 14 | 40.0 | 6-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | YOUNG SUPERSTAR | 28.6% | 3.49 | 10 |
| 2 | 11 | SUNNY DA BEST | 18.1% | 5.52 | 2 |
| 3 | 8 | LO PAN SPIRIT | 9.9% | 10.11 | 3 |
| 4 | 14 | OFFROAD MASTER | 5.2% | 19.35 | 7 |
| 5 | 1 | PACKING POWER | 5.1% | 19.75 | 6 |
| 6 | 10 | RUN RUN SMART | 5.1% | 19.77 | 13 |
| 7 | 13 | BEAUTY LIGHT | 4.8% | 20.94 | 5 |
| 8 | 9 | RIDING TOGETHER | 4.7% | 21.18 | 11 |
| 9 | 12 | AURORA PATCH | 4.6% | 21.69 | 14 |
| 10 | 4 | KING MILES | 4.6% | 21.81 | 9 |
| 11 | 5 | LUCKY EIGHT | 4.2% | 23.84 | 4 |
| 12 | 2 | MID WINTER WIND | 2.9% | 33.94 | 1 |
| 13 | 7 | ANOTHER ZONDA | 1.6% | 63.33 | 8 |
| 14 | 6 | I P O BROS | 0.7% | 147.92 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
2 422.5
PLACE
2 103
8 24
11 14
QUINELLA
2,11 875
QUINELLA PLACE
2,8 388
2,11 302.5
8,11 44
FORECAST
2,11 1,877
TIERCE
2,11,8 15,598
TRIO
2,8,11 1,597
FIRST 4
2,5,8,11 2,859
QUARTET
2,11,8,5 141,733
All pools (1 more)
9TH DOUBLE
11/2 4,693.5
11/11 159.5