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Sha Tin · 2025-01-31 · 07:10

Race 6

Class 2 1400m Course B+2 11 runners

Race 6 at Sha Tin on 2025-01-31 was Class 2 over 1400m. GREEN N WHITE, ridden by H Bowman and trained by P F Yiu, won by 1/2, with MR ASCENDENCY second and DANCING CODE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 1.8 favourite YOUNG CHAMPION finished 6th.

Result

Official · 1.21.29
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 3 GREEN N WHITE Closed strongly 1.21.29 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bowman · P F Yiu 2 4.5 1/2
2 7 MR ASCENDENCY Closed strongly CP2/TT H Bentley · P F Yiu 1 57.0 1/2
3 6 DANCING CODE Closed strongly B/TT C Y Ho · C Fownes 10 17.0 3/4
4 4 CHIU CHOW SPIRIT Closed strongly B/TT A Badel · K L Man 9 14.0 1
5 1 HEALTHY HAPPY V-/B1/TT E C W Wong · F C Lor 4 76.0 1-1/2
6 5 YOUNG CHAMPION E/B1 Z Purton · J Size 6 1.8 1-3/4
7 2 DROMBEG BANNER P N Wong · P C Ng 11 7.0 2
8 9 TOURBILLON PRINCE TT L Hewitson · T P Yung 5 49.0 2-1/4
9 11 AURORA LADY Led early CP/TT J Melham · P C Ng 8 11.0 2-1/2
10 8 OUTGATE H/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz 7 50.0 5-3/4
11 10 ALLCASH TT K Teetan · C S Shum 3 80.0 7-1/2

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. GREEN N WHITE2. MR ASCENDENCY+0.5L3. DANCING CODE+0.75L4. CHIU CHOW SPIRIT+1L5. HEALTHY HAPPY+1.5L6. YOUNG CHAMPION+1.75L7. DROMBEG BANNER+2L8. TOURBILLON PRINCE+2.25L9. AURORA LADY+2.5L10. OUTGATE+5.75L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2024-25
The model's top pick YOUNG CHAMPION (39.3%) finished 6th — the winner GREEN N WHITE was rated #3. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 5 YOUNG CHAMPION 39.3% 2.55 6
2 11 AURORA LADY 17.4% 5.73 9
3 3 GREEN N WHITE 13.6% 7.34 1
4 2 DROMBEG BANNER 6.6% 15.09 7
5 4 CHIU CHOW SPIRIT 5.4% 18.58 4
6 7 MR ASCENDENCY 4.3% 23.49 2
7 6 DANCING CODE 3.8% 26.41 3
8 9 TOURBILLON PRINCE 3.8% 26.43 8
9 1 HEALTHY HAPPY 2.2% 45.64 5
10 10 ALLCASH 1.9% 52.03 11
11 8 OUTGATE 1.7% 58.68 10
YOUNG CHAMPIONAURORA LADYGREEN N WHITE — wonDROMBEG BANNERCHIU CHOW SPIRITMR ASCENDENCYDANCING CODETOURBILLON PRINCEHEALTHY HAPPYALLCASHOUTGATE

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

3 45.5

PLACE

3 15

6 34

7 96

QUINELLA

3,7 1,125.5

QUINELLA PLACE

3,6 79.5

3,7 244.5

6,7 664

FORECAST

3,7 1,236

TIERCE

3,7,6 12,771

TRIO

3,6,7 2,723

FIRST 4

3,4,6,7 3,722

QUARTET

3,7,6,4 61,455

All pools (1 more)

5TH DOUBLE

4/3 105.5

4/7 241