Sha Tin · 2025-01-31 · 17:59
Race 11
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | PACKING ANGEL Closed strongly TT 1.21.33 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · K W Lui | Z Purton | K W Lui | 10 | 3.2 | 1-3/4 |
| 2 | 9 | ANOTHER WORLD Closed strongly CP L Hewitson · T P Yung | L Hewitson | T P Yung | 4 | 4.9 | 1-3/4 |
| 3 | 13 | ARMOUR WAR EAGLE Closed strongly XB M F Poon · M Newnham | M F Poon | M Newnham | 6 | 10.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 11 | SOLID WIN Closed strongly TT M Barzalona · P F Yiu | M Barzalona | P F Yiu | 5 | 6.1 | 3-1/2 |
| 5 | 4 | TAMRA BLITZ Closed strongly H/SR H Bowman · D J Whyte | H Bowman | D J Whyte | 3 | 14.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 6 | 6 | BUCEPHALAS Led early H/TT M Chadwick · W K Mo | M Chadwick | W K Mo | 12 | 125.0 | 5 |
| 7 | 10 | DEVAS TWELVE CP/TT C Y Ho · W Y So | C Y Ho | W Y So | 11 | 31.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 8 | 7 | ENDEARED Closed strongly XB A Atzeni · J Size | A Atzeni | J Size | 2 | 5.7 | 5-3/4 |
| 9 | 5 | KING OF FIGHTERS TT B Avdulla · A S Cruz | B Avdulla | A S Cruz | 14 | 38.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 10 | 8 | SOLID CAR K Teetan · D J Hall | K Teetan | D J Hall | 1 | 70.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 11 | 12 | THE ABSOLUTE Closed strongly CP/XB/TT H Bentley · K H Ting | H Bentley | K H Ting | 8 | 15.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 12 | 1 | SEASONS WIT Closed strongly B/TT C Soumillon · J Richards | C Soumillon | J Richards | 7 | 62.0 | 7 |
| 13 | 2 | KAHOLO ANGEL TT E C W Wong · C Fownes | E C W Wong | C Fownes | 13 | 25.0 | 10-3/4 |
| 14 | 14 | LUCKY COMBINATION B/TT1 A Badel · F C Lor | A Badel | F C Lor | 9 | 186.0 | 11-1/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 11 at Sha Tin on 2025-01-31 was Class 3 over 1400m. PACKING ANGEL, ridden by Z Purton and trained by K W Lui, won by 1-3/4, with ANOTHER WORLD second and ARMOUR WAR EAGLE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 3.2 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | PACKING ANGEL | 30.0% | 3.34 | 1 |
| 2 | 9 | ANOTHER WORLD | 19.2% | 5.21 | 2 |
| 3 | 7 | ENDEARED | 13.2% | 7.60 | 8 |
| 4 | 11 | SOLID WIN | 11.5% | 8.69 | 4 |
| 5 | 13 | ARMOUR WAR EAGLE | 4.5% | 22.23 | 3 |
| 6 | 4 | TAMRA BLITZ | 3.6% | 27.42 | 5 |
| 7 | 10 | DEVAS TWELVE | 3.6% | 27.86 | 7 |
| 8 | 5 | KING OF FIGHTERS | 3.0% | 32.98 | 9 |
| 9 | 2 | KAHOLO ANGEL | 2.4% | 41.41 | 13 |
| 10 | 8 | SOLID CAR | 2.4% | 42.40 | 10 |
| 11 | 1 | SEASONS WIT | 2.3% | 43.77 | 12 |
| 12 | 12 | THE ABSOLUTE | 2.2% | 46.36 | 11 |
| 13 | 6 | BUCEPHALAS | 1.5% | 65.32 | 6 |
| 14 | 14 | LUCKY COMBINATION | 0.7% | 147.59 | 14 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
3 32.5
PLACE
3 15.5
9 18
13 32
QUINELLA
3,9 81.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,9 33.5
3,13 83.5
9,13 127
FORECAST
3,9 136
TIERCE
3,9,13 984
TRIO
3,9,13 314
FIRST 4
3,9,11,13 490
QUARTET
3,9,13,11 5,680
All pools (4 more)
10TH DOUBLE
2/3 1,331.5
2/9 311.5
2ND TREBLE
11/2/3 25,924
11/2/9 7,629
5TH DOUBLE TRIO
2,8,11/3,9,13 34,865
SIX UP
3,7/3,7/3,11/5,11/2,11/3,9 18,478
3/7/11/11/2/3 7,411,714
2 [K W Lui] —
2 [H Bowman] —