Sha Tin · 2025-01-31 · 16:13
Race 8
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | MY WISH Closed strongly 1.33.98 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | 8 | 7.0 | N |
| 2 | 3 | DIVANO Closed strongly TT B Shinn · K W Lui | B Shinn | K W Lui | 14 | 48.0 | N |
| 3 | 1 | PACKING HERMOD Closed strongly Z Purton · K W Lui | Z Purton | K W Lui | 6 | 2.8 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 5 | FAST NETWORK Closed strongly TT C Soumillon · C H Yip | C Soumillon | C H Yip | 1 | 9.8 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 9 | MICKLEY Closed strongly B1/TT H Bowman · J Size | H Bowman | J Size | 13 | 10.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 6 | 2 | RUBYLOT Closed strongly CP B Avdulla · D A Hayes | B Avdulla | D A Hayes | 10 | 12.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 10 | LUCY IN THE SKY H/TT1 K Teetan · Y S Tsui | K Teetan | Y S Tsui | 12 | 101.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 8 | 12 | TOP GUN Closed strongly CP J Melham · F C Lor | J Melham | F C Lor | 7 | 114.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 9 | 13 | TALENTS AMBITION B/XB M F Poon · M Newnham | M F Poon | M Newnham | 2 | 43.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 10 | 8 | GLORY ELITE Led early H H Bentley · K H Ting | H Bentley | K H Ting | 11 | 92.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 11 | 14 | MARKWIN TT K C Leung · W K Mo | K C Leung | W K Mo | 4 | 11.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 12 | 7 | CAP FERRAT C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 3 | 6.2 | 4-1/4 |
| 13 | 4 | CALL ME GLORIOUS M Chadwick · K W Lui | M Chadwick | K W Lui | 5 | 110.0 | 6 |
| 14 | 6 | JOHANNES BRAHMS M Barzalona · P C Ng | M Barzalona | P C Ng | 9 | 10.0 | 6-1/2 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 8 at Sha Tin on 2025-01-31 was 4YO over 1600m. MY WISH, ridden by L Ferraris and trained by M Newnham, won by N, with DIVANO second and PACKING HERMOD third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.8 favourite PACKING HERMOD finished 3rd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | PACKING HERMOD | 26.6% | 3.76 | 3 |
| 2 | 11 | MY WISH | 9.4% | 10.68 | 1 |
| 3 | 7 | CAP FERRAT | 9.2% | 10.87 | 12 |
| 4 | 14 | MARKWIN | 8.9% | 11.28 | 11 |
| 5 | 2 | RUBYLOT | 8.3% | 12.03 | 6 |
| 6 | 13 | TALENTS AMBITION | 7.5% | 13.33 | 9 |
| 7 | 6 | JOHANNES BRAHMS | 7.0% | 14.23 | 14 |
| 8 | 5 | FAST NETWORK | 6.8% | 14.81 | 4 |
| 9 | 9 | MICKLEY | 4.5% | 22.34 | 5 |
| 10 | 3 | DIVANO | 3.1% | 32.42 | 2 |
| 11 | 10 | LUCY IN THE SKY | 2.4% | 41.39 | 7 |
| 12 | 12 | TOP GUN | 2.3% | 42.58 | 8 |
| 13 | 4 | CALL ME GLORIOUS | 2.1% | 47.11 | 13 |
| 14 | 8 | GLORY ELITE | 1.9% | 52.43 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
11 70.5
PLACE
1 13
3 129.5
11 25
QUINELLA
3,11 1,416
QUINELLA PLACE
1,3 279
1,11 51
3,11 443
FORECAST
11,3 2,473
TIERCE
11,3,1 13,207
TRIO
1,3,11 1,433
FIRST 4
1,3,5,11 4,094
QUARTET
11,3,1,5 141,808
All pools (1 more)
7TH DOUBLE
7/3 350.5
7/11 386