Sha Tin · 2025-01-31 · 14:36
Race 5
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | BRILLIANT EXPRESS Closed strongly 1.22.38 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bowman · J Size | H Bowman | J Size | 8 | 2.1 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 6 | SKY DEEP Led early V/XB A Hamelin · C Fownes | A Hamelin | C Fownes | 6 | 6.7 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 1 | PHOENIX LIGHT Closed strongly H C Soumillon · C H Yip | C Soumillon | C H Yip | 2 | 10.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 12 | LUCKY BLESSING B1 Y L Chung · P C Ng | Y L Chung | P C Ng | 10 | 27.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 14 | LUCKY GOLD Closed strongly B C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 1 | 27.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 3 | LESLIE Closed strongly B B Avdulla · C W Chang | B Avdulla | C W Chang | 4 | 14.0 | 3 |
| 7 | 7 | MAX QUE Closed strongly B/TT M Chadwick · M Newnham | M Chadwick | M Newnham | 7 | 8.6 | 3 |
| 8 | 5 | SUPER GOLDI Closed strongly K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 13 | 31.0 | 3 |
| 9 | 10 | ZETTA FORCE Closed strongly B C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 12 | 22.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 10 | 2 | CHARMING BABE H/TT K Teetan · P F Yiu | K Teetan | P F Yiu | 5 | 16.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 11 | 13 | ATOMIC BEAUTY V/TT Z Purton · A S Cruz | Z Purton | A S Cruz | 3 | 21.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 12 | 11 | HARMONY N HOME M F Poon · K H Ting | M F Poon | K H Ting | 11 | 53.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 13 | 8 | FLYING AKEED B- A Atzeni · K L Man | A Atzeni | K L Man | 9 | 158.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 14 | 9 | VICTORY PATCH TT H Bentley · W K Mo | H Bentley | W K Mo | 14 | 50.0 | 10-1/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 5 at Sha Tin on 2025-01-31 was Class 4 over 1400m. BRILLIANT EXPRESS, ridden by H Bowman and trained by J Size, won by 1-1/4, with SKY DEEP second and PHOENIX LIGHT third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 2.1 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | BRILLIANT EXPRESS | 25.7% | 3.90 | 1 |
| 2 | 13 | ATOMIC BEAUTY | 13.8% | 7.25 | 11 |
| 3 | 6 | SKY DEEP | 10.9% | 9.18 | 2 |
| 4 | 1 | PHOENIX LIGHT | 9.8% | 10.25 | 3 |
| 5 | 3 | LESLIE | 7.2% | 13.91 | 6 |
| 6 | 14 | LUCKY GOLD | 5.9% | 16.82 | 5 |
| 7 | 10 | ZETTA FORCE | 5.9% | 17.03 | 9 |
| 8 | 7 | MAX QUE | 5.1% | 19.54 | 7 |
| 9 | 2 | CHARMING BABE | 4.8% | 20.73 | 10 |
| 10 | 5 | SUPER GOLDI | 3.3% | 30.09 | 8 |
| 11 | 12 | LUCKY BLESSING | 2.9% | 34.26 | 4 |
| 12 | 11 | HARMONY N HOME | 2.0% | 50.36 | 12 |
| 13 | 8 | FLYING AKEED | 1.7% | 60.07 | 13 |
| 14 | 9 | VICTORY PATCH | 1.1% | 92.62 | 14 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
4 21
PLACE
1 30
4 12
6 21
QUINELLA
4,6 77.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,4 46
1,6 98
4,6 32.5
FORECAST
4,6 134
TIERCE
4,6,1 516
TRIO
1,4,6 126
FIRST 4
1,4,6,12 1,430
QUARTET
4,6,1,12 14,287
All pools (3 more)
1ST TREBLE
1/4/4 2,012
1/4/6 965
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
4,6,11/1,4,6 17,440
4TH DOUBLE
4/4 426.5
4/6 132