沙田 · 2025-01-31 · 08:50
第 9場
2025-01-31沙田第9場，Class 3，途程1600米。由B Thompson策騎、C W Chang訓練的NEW FUTURE FOLKS勝出，贏出1-1/2。SKY HEART獲得亞軍；SILVERY BREEZE獲得季軍。頭馬帶放到底。4.7倍大熱門EMBRACES跑獲第4名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | NEW FUTURE FOLKS 一路領先 1.35.48 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） B Thompson · C W Chang | B Thompson | C W Chang | 13 | 18.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 2 | 5 | SKY HEART 後段發力 TT H Bowman · C Fownes | H Bowman | C Fownes | 5 | 5.3 | 1-1/2 |
| 3 | 2 | SILVERY BREEZE 後段發力 B/TT Z Purton · D Eustace | Z Purton | D Eustace | 12 | 5.4 | 2 |
| 4 | 3 | EMBRACES 後段發力 TT C L Chau · W K Mo | C L Chau | W K Mo | 11 | 4.7 | 2 |
| 5 | 7 | FALLON 後段發力 B/TT C Soumillon · A S Cruz | C Soumillon | A S Cruz | 1 | 7.9 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 1 | HUGE WAVE TT H Bentley · K H Ting | H Bentley | K H Ting | 7 | 21.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 9 | BLESSED NATION 後段發力 XB/TT L Ferraris · D J Whyte | L Ferraris | D J Whyte | 9 | 32.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 14 | FORTUNE SUPERSTAR A Badel · M Newnham | A Badel | M Newnham | 14 | 50.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 9 | 13 | LEGEND ST PAUL'S CP/TT K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 2 | 5.4 | 3-1/2 |
| 10 | 8 | PACKING TURBINE TT M Barzalona · P C Ng | M Barzalona | P C Ng | 4 | 12.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 11 | 6 | ENTHRALLED 後段發力 B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 10 | 39.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 12 | 12 | PRESTIGE GOOD B/TT1 M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | 3 | 22.0 | 4 |
| 13 | 10 | STORMI TT M Chadwick · T P Yung | M Chadwick | T P Yung | 6 | 153.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 14 | 4 | UNIVERSAL HORIZON B C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 8 | 97.0 | 12-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | EMBRACES | 20.1% | 4.97 | 4 |
| 2 | 2 | SILVERY BREEZE | 15.5% | 6.44 | 3 |
| 3 | 7 | FALLON | 14.6% | 6.84 | 5 |
| 4 | 5 | SKY HEART | 12.8% | 7.80 | 2 |
| 5 | 13 | LEGEND ST PAUL'S | 11.9% | 8.37 | 9 |
| 6 | 6 | ENTHRALLED | 4.6% | 21.70 | 11 |
| 7 | 1 | HUGE WAVE | 4.3% | 23.34 | 6 |
| 8 | 8 | PACKING TURBINE | 4.1% | 24.48 | 10 |
| 9 | 14 | FORTUNE SUPERSTAR | 3.1% | 32.38 | 8 |
| 10 | 11 | NEW FUTURE FOLKS | 2.5% | 40.77 | 1 |
| 11 | 4 | UNIVERSAL HORIZON | 2.0% | 50.47 | 14 |
| 12 | 12 | PRESTIGE GOOD | 1.8% | 56.69 | 12 |
| 13 | 9 | BLESSED NATION | 1.7% | 58.50 | 7 |
| 14 | 10 | STORMI | 1.0% | 103.03 | 13 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
11 180.5
PLACE
2 20
5 18
11 50
QUINELLA
5,11 548.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,5 56
2,11 158.5
5,11 165
FORECAST
11,5 1,201
TIERCE
11,5,2 8,253
TRIO
2,5,11 935
FIRST 4
2,3,5,11 1,009
QUARTET
11,5,2,3 33,457
全部彩池（另 2 項）
4TH DOUBLE TRIO
1,3,11/2,5,11 157,723
8TH DOUBLE
11/5 98
11/11 3,253.5