沙田 · 2025-03-02 · 06:05
第 3場
2025-03-02沙田第3場，Class 3，途程1650米。由P N Wong策騎、D A Hayes訓練的ARIEL勝出，贏出1-1/2。PERFECT TEAM獲得亞軍；FIGHTING MACHINE獲得季軍。頭馬帶放到底。3.1倍大熱門FIGHTING MACHINE跑獲第3名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | ARIEL 一路領先 B/TT 1.38.87 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） P N Wong · D A Hayes | P N Wong | D A Hayes | 10 | 8.7 | 1-1/2 |
| 2 | 3 | PERFECT TEAM 後段發力 TT R Moore · C Fownes | R Moore | C Fownes | 8 | 10.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 3 | 5 | FIGHTING MACHINE 後段發力 SR/V J Moreira · P C Ng | J Moreira | P C Ng | 5 | 3.1 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 6 | NEVER PETER OUT V/TT M L Yeung · F C Lor | M L Yeung | F C Lor | 4 | 4.7 | 2 |
| 5 | 9 | ENDEARED 後段發力 P/XB C Williams · J Size | C Williams | J Size | 6 | 6.2 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 1 | YELLOWFIN XB L Hewitson · K W Lui | L Hewitson | K W Lui | 9 | 25.0 | 3 |
| 7 | 7 | PACKING TURBINE 後段發力 TT M F Poon · P C Ng | M F Poon | P C Ng | 11 | 11.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 10 | STORMI TT B Thompson · T P Yung | B Thompson | T P Yung | 7 | 67.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 2 | ALLCASH CP/TT D McDonogh · C S Shum | D McDonogh | C S Shum | 1 | 73.0 | 4 |
| 10 | 4 | MEGA FORCE K C Leung · P C Ng | K C Leung | P C Ng | 2 | 124.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 11 | 8 | BEAUTY VIVA A Atzeni · P C Ng | A Atzeni | P C Ng | 3 | 6.7 | 5-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | FIGHTING MACHINE | 25.2% | 3.97 | 3 |
| 2 | 6 | NEVER PETER OUT | 17.9% | 5.60 | 4 |
| 3 | 1 | YELLOWFIN | 13.7% | 7.27 | 6 |
| 4 | 8 | BEAUTY VIVA | 10.7% | 9.37 | 11 |
| 5 | 7 | PACKING TURBINE | 7.9% | 12.61 | 7 |
| 6 | 9 | ENDEARED | 7.5% | 13.39 | 5 |
| 7 | 3 | PERFECT TEAM | 7.4% | 13.52 | 2 |
| 8 | 11 | ARIEL | 6.1% | 16.30 | 1 |
| 9 | 4 | MEGA FORCE | 1.3% | 75.51 | 10 |
| 10 | 10 | STORMI | 1.2% | 83.10 | 8 |
| 11 | 2 | ALLCASH | 1.1% | 93.05 | 9 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
11 87
PLACE
3 27
5 13.5
11 28.5
QUINELLA
3,11 405.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,5 50
3,11 127.5
5,11 66.5
FORECAST
11,3 860
TIERCE
11,3,5 3,114
TRIO
3,5,11 416
FIRST 4
3,5,6,11 164
QUARTET
11,3,5,6 7,037
全部彩池（另 1 項）
2ND DOUBLE
11/3 87.5
11/11 367